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West Elk Mine <br />. All of these streams (with the exception of Raven Creek, and Deep Creek) within the South of <br />Divide pernut azea are ephemeral, based on U.S. Geological Survey topographic maps and <br />extrapolation of gaged streamflow data. Flows occur only in response to snowmelt and significant <br />rainfalls. As discussed in Exhibits 55 and SSA, WWE and Mr. Pemberton used a variety of <br />statistically-based methods to determine a representative average annual yield value that would <br />apply to these drainages. Exhibits 55 and SSA concludes that for the purpose of computing pre and <br />post-mining average annual sediment yields, an appropriate mean annual runoff for the subject <br />basins of 475 acre-feet per square mile per yeaz should be adopted, even though site-specific data <br />for the basins indicate a mean annual runoff of considerably less than this amount. <br />From the standpoint of water rights, analyses of water yield by WWE for the Division No. 4 <br />Colorado Water Court for the 1986 West Elk Mine water augmentation plan indicated that the <br />typical annual water yield for tributaries to the Dry Fork of Minnesota Creek were approximately <br />200 acre-feet per square mile per yeaz. This is consistent with the average annual yield of the Dry <br />Fork basin, which is also about 200 acre-feet per square mile per year based on the available data. In <br />short, the appropriate average annual streamflow for the channels ranges from 200 and 475 acre-feet <br />per square mile per year, with 200 acre-feet per square mile per year being used for water rights <br />purposes and 475 acre-feet per square mile being used for sediment yield purposes. <br />In addition to computing average annual yields, W WE and Mr. Pemberton calculated floodflows for <br />multiple return frequency events. These are presented in Exhibits 55 and SSA. This is important <br />because it is necessary to evaluate how the stream channels will respond to large flood flows after <br />subsidence has occurred, especially with respect to sediment transport. <br />The projected subsidence for the stream channels was determined using output from the CISPM, <br />Version 2.0, calibrated using site-specific subsidence data. The stream channels were analyzed to <br />determine the magnitude of change resulting from the change in channel slope. The changes to <br />stream channel chazacteristics were analyzed using standazd procedures of the sedimentation and <br />geomorphic engineering professions based on the effects of thalweg slope changes (either increase <br />or decrease) due to mining-induced subsidence. <br />Maximum estimated change in channel width is calculated to be seven feet, and the maximum <br />change in channel depth is 0.4 feet. Changes in new regime width and depths occur in a slow <br />process that may take from three to five yeazs or more. The likely change in sediment yield is not <br />expected to be more than 5 percent. Reaches where the slope increases will undergo degradation <br />(erosion), and reaches where the channel slope decreases will experience aggradation (deposition). <br />Overall, the mining-induced subsidence impacts on existing stream channel pazameters and basin <br />sediment yield aze not significant. See Exhibits 55 and SSA. <br />As discussed in the subsidence section of this pemut document [(Section 2.05.6 (6)(e)(i)(C&D)], <br />the height of the caved zone above B Seam mining is conservatively estimated at 2.St or 30 feet. <br />The height of the fractured zone is conservatively estimated at 20t or 240 feet when t = 12 feet. <br />Summing these two figures yields a total combined thickness for the caved/fractured zone of 270 <br />feet above the B Seam. This can be contrasted with the minimum overburden thicknesses in the <br />mine plan area of 375 feet. <br />1.05-158 Revised June 1005 PRIO <br />