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Subsidence Evaluation For <br />Exhibit 60 The Apache Rocks And The Box Canyon Mining Areas Page 19 <br />5. State Geologists from most coal-producing states were contacted regarding the known <br />occurrence of any block glide in such gently-dipping rocks as in the Oliver No. 2 Mine azea. <br />Not one could recall an occurrence of block glide, including those from eastern states where <br />coal seams typically overly a sofr underclay making block glide more likely (John Rold, <br />written communication, November I5, 1996). <br />6.2.2 Block Glide Potential Due to Mining in the 8-Seam in the Oliver No. 2 Mine Area <br />Block glide due to MCC mining of the B-Seam will not occur in bedrock beneath the coal zone <br />mined at the Oliver No. 2 Mine. This is based on two factors: (1) these rocks occur beneath the <br />North Fork valley and are, therefore, laterally constrained; and (2) the B-Seam in this area has a <br />dip angle of 2.6 percent which is less than that of the E/DO-Seam (Figure 9). <br />6.3 Effects of Rugged Topography on Subsidence and Mine Stresses <br />The subsidence factor (a) reportedly can vary significantly in draws and on ridges in rugged <br />topography. Gentry and Abel (1978, p. 203-204) report that vertical displacement was 25 to 30 <br />percent greater on a ridge than it was in an adjacent draw in the York Canyon (Raton, New <br />Mexico) longwall mining area (Figure 3). Based on this information, the subsidence factor is <br />projected to be closer to 0.6 in deep draws and closer to 0.8 on isolated ridges in the Box Canyon <br />• mining azea. No significant similaz influence is expected in the Apache Rocks mining area <br />because there are few, if any, isolated ridges. <br />Based on observations by the author in the Somerset Mine in the mid-1970s, stresses tended to <br />be significantly higher beneath isolated ridges than they were beneath more uniform overburden <br />of similar thickness. For a similar mine geometry, rooffalls, bumps (rock bursts), and floor <br />heaving were noticeably greater beneath the ridges than they were beneath more uniform <br />overburden of similar thickness, because there is little or no lateral constraint to distribute the <br />weight of the isolated load of the ridge. <br />The rugged topography on the north, west, and south flanks of West Flatiron may cause stresses <br />to be concentrated beneath isolated ridges. Overburden thickness will increase by 500 to 1,000 <br />feet in horizontal distances of 1,500 feet similaz to the isolated ridge north of the first east- <br />trending side canyon of Sylvester Gulch. <br />7.0 FRACTURE-CONTROLLED DRAINAGES <br />Based on mapping by the author in the Somerset area and on recent tield work, the author <br />believes that there is reasonably good, but certainly not conclusive, evidence that the drainages <br />(Sylvester Gulch, an unnamed drainage west of Box Canyon, and Box Canyon) in the Box <br />Canyon permit revision area are controlled by north-trending fractures and/or joints. These <br />831-032.181 Wright Water Engineers, Inc. <br />