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West Elk Mine <br />. 3. Interconnected fractures in the fractured zone may form in the Marine Sandstone that <br />underlies the D Seam and impact isolated groundwater that may be present. Any water <br />present in these lenticular sand units of the Marine Sandstone might therefore be diverted to <br />the mine workings. <br />Though unlikely, fractures filled with water and methane that were reported in the <br />abandoned Oliver No. 2 Mine (Dunrud 1976, p. 30-34) might be encountered or intersected <br />by the B Seam fractured zone that may divert the water and methane to the B Seam <br />workings. <br />South of Divide Mining Area -Predicted subsidence impacts for the South of Divide mining area <br />has been described in detail above. The greatest surface impacts are expected to occur along the <br />precipitous slopes and cliffs that flank Minnesota Creek, Lick Creek, and other tributazies. <br />Though unlikely, the worst possible consequences foreseen aze that cracks could locally form <br />and be as much as 25 to 50 feet deep above chain pillazs and barrier pillars in bedrock on the <br />precipitous slopes, ridges, and/or cliffs that flank Minnesota Creek, Lick Creek, and other <br />tributaries, and may locally accelerate the naturally-occurring rockfall and landslide process. <br />Some cracks are expected occur on the Dry Fork access road, however, in the area near the <br />confluence of Deer Creek and Dry Fork. Maximum vertical displacement ranging from 8.4 to 11.2 <br />feet, tilt from 1.3 to 6 percent, and horizontal strain from 0.7 to 4.2 percent aze projected in the Dry <br />Fork valley above the western limits of longwall panels E2 and E3. <br />• Based on subsidence observations by Mr. Dunrud (as discussed in Maximum Depth of Surface <br />Cracks), no cracks aze expected to occur in either alluvium in the Dry Fork and Lick Creek <br />drainages or stock watering ponds and drainage diversion ditches. In addition, no cracks are <br />predicted to occur in colluvium more than about ten feet thick. Mr. Dunrud has estimated the <br />alluvial cover in Dry Fork and Lick Creek to be approximately 25 to 75 feet thick (Section 11.3, <br />Exhibit 60 B). The monitoring suggested above will compare results expected by the author, and <br />actual Feld results. <br />Potential Impacts from Local Seismic Activity <br />Earth tremors have been recorded or felt by local residents in the Somerset azea since the early <br />1960s. The tremors commonly aze the result of coal mine bumps and rock bursts, which are <br />spontaneous releases of strain energy in highly stressed coal and rock. In the Somerset Mine area <br />before closure, the bumps and rock bursts were common in room-and-pillaz mining azeas where <br />stresses concentrated within isolated pillars and blocks of coal (called bump blocks). Earth tremors <br />have continued sporadically in the Somerset Mine azea since the mine was closed. <br />Tremors generated by bumps and rock bursts in the Somerset Mine azea attain magnitudes that have <br />shaken structures in the West Elk Mine azea and have been felt sometimes by West Elk Mine <br />personnel. These local tremors may affect underground workings, landslide or potential rockfall <br />azeas, particulazly during prolonged periods of increased precipitation. It is noteworthy, however, <br />that the Rulison nucleaz shot in 1969, which produced a tremor with a Richter magnitude of 5.2, <br />was many times greater than the magnitudes of any recorded coal bump. To Mr. Dunrud's <br />knowledge, the Rulison nucleaz shot did not trigger any known landslides, rockfalls, did not affect <br />the Somerset Mine, neither did it impact reservoirs, ponds, nor streams in the South of Divide <br />1.05-138 Revisedhme 1005 PRIO, Rev. March 1006; May 1006 PRIO <br />