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Statement of BME subsidence predictions. <br />• Results to date. <br />• Comparison between the prediction and results to date. <br />• Half foot subsidence difference contour map and profiles for each survey. <br />• Printout of the elevation data. <br />• Topographic base map. <br />The data derived from subsidence monitoring is expected to enable BME to make accurate predictions <br />of subsidence and strain over subsequent panels. It will be possible to make accurate predictions of <br />the timing and magnitude of any subsidence that may affect the county road, so that BME can take <br />appropriate actions, i.e., repairs and traffic control. Similar predictions will also be possible for panels <br />that may produce subsidence near Red Wash and Scullion Gulch. Upon completion of production <br />mining within room and pillar panel RP-1 and longwall panel LW-1, BME was to prepare analysis of the <br />subsidence monitoring data collected to that date. If the results of that analysis determined that a <br />revision of the mining plan for the remainder of the mine was appropriate, BME was to complete the <br />appropriate revisions and submit them to the regulatory authority for review. Analysis of LW1 <br />subsidence data showed that a revision in the mine ptan was not warranted. BME requested and <br />DMG waived the subsidence monitoring requirements of RP-1 by analytical photogrammetry as long <br />as significant unanticipated ground movement did not occur above RP-1. BME will continue visual <br />• inspection above RP-1 twice a year and complete any required repairs. A report of such inspection <br />shall be submitted annually. The annual report will include description or sketch of the visual <br />inspection route, and description, location, and photographic documentation of any potential <br />expressions of surface subsidence, along with a description of any repairs conducted. If significant <br />ground movement above RP-1 is noticed and if DMG so directs, BME will complete an aerial <br />photogrammetric survey and submit a subsidence map within six months of DMG's request. DMG <br />and OSM have determined that the best mitigation for archaeological sites subject to potential <br />subsidence was to limit access to the area and limit access to the location information. It was <br />determined that subsidence itself did not produce a detrimental impact to the cultural resources. <br />Subsidence is expected to produce no long term impacts on these sites. <br />Subsidence predictions have been approached from a conservative standpoint and actual <br />measured subsidence has always been less than predicted. Depth increases as the mine <br />progresses to the north and as depth increases, subsidence is decreased. As acknowledged by <br />DMG and OSM, subsidence of archaeological sites over LW-2 was found to not cause significant <br />impacts. The sites in lease COC-51551 were predicted to undergo less subsidence than the sites <br />over LW-2 and therefore are not expected to be significantly impacted. However, longwall mining <br />under these sites did not occur since this area became inaccessible when part of the D Seam was <br />sealed due to the fire. <br />Permit Renewal #3 (Rev, 8/99) III-26 <br />