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A raw water pipeline system that supplies the town of Palisade, runs along Cottonwood Creek to the <br />confluence of Rapid Creek. Damage to the pipeline was to be avoided by leaving pillars beneath the <br />pipeline route to assure additional stability. A second pipeline conveys raw water along Rapid Creek <br />from collection points southeast of the permit area. Any pipeline damage will be mitigated by the <br />operator should it occur. See page 224, Exhibits 29, 30 and 46 of the permit for further information. <br />A 24-inch concrete water line overlies portions of the permit area and is owned and maintained by the <br />Ute Water Conservancy District. On February 28, 1990, this water line broke roughly 200 feet east of <br />the North Fan Portal. The break was detected immediately and Ute Water Conservancy was able to <br />shut down the line. The water was directed down the drainage channel at the North Decline area, and <br />some water flowed to sediment pond 7. <br />The application contains an extensive analysis ofthe stability ofpillars proposed to prevent subsidence <br />beneath the major drainages potentially affected by subsidence. The application also contains <br />predictions of maximum subsidence expected to occur if pillar failure follows cessation of mining in <br />the potentially affected areas. Each of these analyses is prepazed in accordance with the <br />state-of--the-art of subsidence prediction. See Appendices 20-1 through 20-4 for subsidence <br />predictions and pillar design analyses. <br />The demonstration of proposed pillar stability, including calculations of pillar factors ofsafety using a <br />conservative method developed by A.H. Wilson, is included within this submittal. Pillars and main <br />corridors which have 80 feet by 80 feet dimension are proposed and demonstrated to exceed factors of <br />safety of 2.92 under maximum anticipated overburden loadings. The life-of--mine plan for the <br />Cottonwood lease area indicates that mains were located to directly underlie significant portions ofthe <br />two potentially affected creeks and the associated alluvial aquifers and raw water collectionpipe1ines. <br />In addition, several significant portions of the Cottonwood Creek channel is underlain by proposed <br />room and pillar panel sections. In these areas, retreat mining is proposed to result in relatively <br />conservative slabbed pillars, which have been demonstrated to have a safety factor in excess of 1.34. <br />In the North Portal mining area, a safety factor of 5.27 was calculated for the maximum load over <br />pillars to be retained beneath Coal Creek and Jerry Creek. <br />A subsidence event that occurred during the initial permit review was monitored and analyzed within <br />the second and third east panels of the Roadside Mine, immediately adjoining the Cottonwood lease <br />on the north side. This recorded and analyzed event has demonstrated that the design characteristics <br />utilized in completing the proposed plan for subsidence control have functioned as projected within <br />the area of the second and third east panels of the Roadside mine. With Division approval of <br />Technical Revision No. 03, the monitoring plan on the second and third east panels was dropped. The <br />operator had also installed subsidence monuments along the Ute water pipeline. Monitoring of this <br />pipeline was also dropped with Division approval of Technical Revision No. 08. Both areas of <br />subsidence monitoring have retained their monuments for future use if necessary. Monitoring of the <br />south mains occurred until 1985, a year preceding a temporary cessation that lasted until April 30, <br />1989. <br />In conjunction with Permit Renewal No. 3, the Division found that the past subsidence monument <br />survey monitoring had been sufficient to establish subsidence trends in the Roadside South Portals <br />mining area. Because the geology, overburden thickness and coal seam extraction height remain the <br />same as in previous mining areas that were monitored, similar effects are predicted to occur, should <br />mining resume. Visual monitoring conducted twice yearly by the operator through 1998, had <br />confirmed this projection. <br />Permit Revision No. 3 Permit No. C-1981-041 <br />July 30, 2007 Page 51 <br />