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Mr. Jim Mattern <br />March 19, 2007 <br />Page 46 <br />N50°E, Dip = 89°N, 0.37 ff) in Figure 34. These figures, when considering the aerial photo in <br />Figure 32 and observed surface cracking, suggest that the shape of the southern limits of the <br />landslide may be controlled by opening of existing fractures. It is not likely that these fractures <br />played a significant role in initiating the landslide because bedding planes aze significantly <br />weaker than these fractures. It is interesting to examine the orientation of principal stresses. At <br />the time the stress measurements were made,' the measurements did not indicate any unusual <br />stress levels and were consistent with a gravitational stress field whose principal orientations <br />correlated joint set orientations in the massive sandstone beds. The model results seem to <br />suggest that the orientation of principal stresses are also significantly influenced by the geometry <br />of the hillside since to the southwest the bedding dip increases, which gives the major principal <br />stress (6i) as N37°W, which happens to parallel the primazy fracture set. <br />The results confum that the influence of strikeline mining contributed to instability of the <br />slope. However, it should be noted that it was the mine's experience at the time of G-Strike <br />mining that strikeline mining could be successfully performed until the September 2005 highwall <br />failure. Evidence for this is that no major highwall stability problems have occurred in the <br />current Z-Strike Pit, even in the presence of potential instability associated with the Z-Pit burn <br />azea. <br />It is possible that a much smaller landslide could have been initiated due to shallow <br />mining of H-Seam. The material above the H-Seam is naturally unstable, as evidenced by aerial <br />photos ofthe shallow historic escarpments. The model results indicate the layers above H-Seam <br />remained stable, but this might be influenced by assumed properties. The model results indicate <br />that the spoils buttressing the failed G-Strike highwall were insufficient to resist movement of <br />the entire hillside. The purpose of the buttressing was to locally stabilize the highwall failure <br />that occurred in G-Strike during September 2005. <br />The results indicate that the slope was stable after the 2005 G-Strike highwall failure and <br />prior to G-Dip Pit mining. The model results indicate that dip mining contributed to instability <br />of the slope. Although mining in G-Dip Pit was not extensive, mining had progressed to the <br />I2-Seam on the north and to K-Seam on the south leaving a thin floor `beam' above the weak <br />mudstone seam. To get the slope to fail in the model floor buckling had to be simulated <br />providing a degree of freedom for the landslide block to move. It was the mines experience that <br />dip mining perpendicular to the plunge of the beds provides a more stable highwall than in <br />strikeline mining, but global hillside failure was not anticipated and had not been experienced by <br />the mine in the past. <br />Displacements computed in the model were not large enough to reproduce the magnitude <br />of displacements or rotation of the main slide block. This is because the model was set up to <br />primarily focus on predicting instability and not matching the distance the block slid. A slip- <br />interface would have been required in the model, but it would have been necessary to know the <br />location of the slip plane prior to the analysis which might bias the model results. <br />Agapito Associates, Inc. (2005), "Determination of Secondary Principal Horizontal Stresses at Trapper Mine Using <br />the Downhole Overcoring Method," prepazed for Trapper Mining, Inc., December. <br />Agapito Associates, Inc. <br />