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GENERAL32698
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Last modified
8/24/2016 7:55:06 PM
Creation date
11/23/2007 7:25:09 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
DRMS Permit Index
Permit No
C1981047
IBM Index Class Name
General Documents
Doc Date
7/13/2007
Doc Name
Year 9 Vegetation Review Memo
From
Dan Mathews
To
Joe Dudash
Permit Index Doc Type
Vegetation
Media Type
D
Archive
No
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census method is more stringent than sampling methods specified in the regulations; any <br />error in counting is more likely to result in "under-count" than "over-count". Year 1 <br />census results in the grassland community indicated 258 woody stems per acre, compared <br />to the success standard of 90 stems per acre. Although the regulations do not <br />specifically address the total census method, it is actually more precise than <br />sampling, and I would recommend that we accept the census as a valid <br />demonstration of success for the small grassland area woody stem density standard. <br />For the riparian community, proper sampling procedures were used, and results cleazly <br />document that woody stem density in the reclaimed area exceeds the approved standard <br />(reclaimed area sample mean of 8,175 stems per acre vs. standard of 900 stems per acre.) <br />Cedar Creek used a reverse null t-test to demonstrate success, and for practical purposes <br />the test demonstrates that the reclaimed area mean exceeds the standard by an extremely <br />wide margin, at the 90% level of statistical confidence. Unfortunately, Rule <br />4.15.11(2)(c) requires a minimum sample size of 30, if the reverse null demonstration is <br />employed, and a sample size of only 20 was obtained. <br />An alternative approach that Cedar Creek could have employed would be to use a direct <br />comparison if sample adequacy is obtained in the reclaimed area. Cedar Creek's results <br />indicate that sample adequacy was not obtained (Nmin of 24 indicated on Table 16). <br />However, it appears that Cedar Creek used a precision level of 0.10 in the sample <br />adequacy formula, and in addition, they used a table "t" value for atwo-tailed test rather <br />than the value for aone-tailed test, Both the precision level and the table t value used by <br />Cedar Creek were more stringent that required by regulation, and had the effect of <br />inflating the required sample size. Rule 4.15.11(2)(a) allows for use of the t-tail value for <br />aone-tailed test, and also allows for use of a precision level of 0.15 in the sample <br />adequacy formula, specifically for woody plant density. Using the formula with a <br />precision level of 0.15, and table "t" value for aone-tailed test results in a minimum <br />required sample size of 6, rather than 24 (see spreadsheet calculations attached, "2006 <br />Blue Ribbon Riparian Woody Plant Density"). <br />Table 16 of the report will need to be revised, using the less stringent table "t" and <br />0.15 precision -evel allowed by 4.15.11(2)(a), and success should be demonstrated by <br />direct comparison of the sample mean to (90% of) the approved standard. <br />Summary Table i will need to be revised accordingly. Section 3.5 narrative on page <br />16 of the report should be amended to reference the direct comparison success <br />demonstration, based on comparison of the sample mean of a statistically adequate <br />sample to the standard. For 2007 sampling, the operator will need to ensure that a <br />minimum sample size of 30 is obtained (if reverse null t-test is employed), or that <br />sample adequacy is demonstrated (with minimum sample size of 15), if direct <br />comparison of sample mean to standard is to be employed. <br />Let me know if you have any questions. <br />
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