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24 <br />3. The 15-mile reach provides an important refu<3e for endangered <br />fishes should a catastrophic event cause a loss of populations in <br />the Gunnison River or in the Colorado River below the Gunnison <br />River confluence. <br />FLOW RECOMMENDA~'IONS FOR THE 15-MILE REACH <br />The 15-mile reach has experienced major agricultural water depletions <br />for many years. During late summer and early fall, this reach can be <br />severely dewateied. Although it experiences major water depletions, <br />the 15-mile reach is viewed as critical to the recovery of Colorado <br />River populations of Colorado and razorback sucker. The development <br />of .recommended flows in the 15-mile reach, therefore, was identified <br />as important to achieving recovery of these species. <br />The Service first developed flow recommendations in 1.989 and 1991. <br />The summer flow recommendations (Kaeding and Osmundson 1989) were <br />developed using the Instream Flow Incremental Methodology. The spring <br />and winter flow recommendations (Osmundson and Kaedir~g 1991) were <br />based on other methodologies. Serious shortcomings of the IFIM <br />approach in developing flow recommendations for endar.~gered fish in the <br />Upper Colorado River led the Service to initiate a ne:w study for <br />determining recommended summer and winter flows. Using new <br />information obtained from this study as well as that collected by <br />other researchers, the Service updated and refined it.s earlier flow <br />recommendations (Osmundson et al. 1995). . <br />The Service's 1989 flow recommendations for summer were developed by <br />modeling microhabitats based on depth, velocity, and substrate <br />measurements at a site thought to be representative of the reach. The <br />Service's 1991 flow recommendations for winter consisted of a <br />tentative recommendation that flows not fall below historic levels; <br />this recommendation was based on the assumption that historic <br />conditions provided adequate winter habitat for adult fish. In <br />refining these flow recommendations for summer and winter, the Service <br />determined which habitat types (pools, riffles, etc.) were preferred <br />by the fish during these seasons and then determined the flow level at <br />which the preferred habitat types are maximized in area. This <br />approach, as with other instream flow methodologies, assumes that <br />increases in the amount of preferred or optimum habitat increases <br />carrying capacity and, barring other potentially limiting factors, <br />results in an increase in population size. <br />Earlier Service flow recommendations for spring were based on <br />information on how the decrease in magnitude of aprir.~g flows could <br />negatively affect endangered fish reproduction and survival. Data <br />were provided which showed that low spring runoff resulted in lower <br />larval production. The explanation for this relatior.~ship was that <br />high flows are periodically needed to build cobble bars and flush fine <br />sediment from the gravel/cobble substrates used by for spawning. <br />