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the analysis. <br /> <br /> <br />The addition of the load of the new fill likely caused settlement of the entire <br />embankment. This is evidenced by the increase in pipe movement during the <br />period substantial fill was placed. <br />Addition of the new fill, particularly fine-grained fill with substantial clay likely <br />caused ground water level rise in both the new and old embankment, compared <br />to original ground water levels. This is evidenced by the increase in the marshy <br />area upstream and flows observed from downstream springs. <br />The old embankment was apparently stable at the observed slope of about 1.3H:1 V <br />for many years. No problems with embankment stability or the penstock were <br />reported by PSCO for years prior to Pathfinder's initiation of grading activities. <br />The new fill is less stable than the old, gravel fill. This is evidenced by recent <br />mudflow and slump features observed. <br />Truck traffic has reportedly increased substantially in the last few months <br />compared with historic uses of the road. <br />These considerations allowed us to make a pertormance-based evaluation of <br />relative stability for judging strength of the various embankment materials. The strength <br />of the original fill was judged based on the uphill slope and the granular nature of the <br />soils in the fill. The soils in the downhill (new embankment) appear to contain <br />considerably more clay and silt sizes and the strength was modeled accordingly. We <br />analyzed the existing embankment for two ground water conditions, i.e., the "dry" <br />condition, which places the ground water at the estimated filllnatural soil interface, and <br />a "wet" condition, with the ground water level up into the fill. The dry condition is meant <br />to model conditions over the portion of the year when the ground is either frozen or <br />receives relatively little rainfall with high average temperatures. The wet condition models <br />conditions of increased ground water as might be expected during spring snowmelt and <br />late summer-fall rainy season. <br />Our stability analyzes were performed using the computer program SLOPENV, by <br />Geo-Slope International, Ltd., version 4.20. The attached cross sections are taken directly <br />from SLOPENV output (Figs. 11-16). <br />The configuration of the existing embankment (old and new) is shown on Fig. 11, <br />where we postulate a higher ground water level, as would be expected if the relatively <br />finer soils in the new embankment resulted in decreased drainage capacity. Field <br />observations support modeling this condition as marginally stable. We obtained a relative <br />FS of 1.1 for this condition. An FS of 1 means that the forces resisting failure just <br />PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF COLORADO <br />AMES HYDRO PENSTOCK <br />CTL? 31,&L8 5 <br />