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15,1998 • <br />• 983-2348.135 <br />were taken from the available data, or estimated based on the information in the <br />available data, are listed in Table 1. <br />The fault geologic and geometric chazaderistics listed in Table 1 were used to calculate <br />the maximum credible earthquake (MCE) for each potential seismogenic source, using <br />the fault rupture versus eazthquake magnitude relationships of Anderson et al (1996), <br />Wells and Coppersmith (1994), and Slemmons (1982). The MCEs for each source listed <br />in Table 1 were selected from the suite of calculated possible MCEs for each source <br />(derived from the various fault rupture versus magnitude relationships) based prirnarily <br />on the reliability, accuracy and completeness of the available fault rupture geometric and <br />geologic data. In addition, selected source chazacteristics (i.e., total length, rupture <br />length, rupture width, slip rate), along with the MCE for each source were used as input <br />data in the development of the probabilistic assessment of ground motions. The MCE <br />calculation sheets for each of the faults aze included in Attachment 1 <br />The total lengths for the various potential seismogenic sources were taken directly from <br />the available maps and tabulations of Witkind (1976) grid Kirkham and Rogers (1981). <br />Rupture lengths were estimated from the available data based on mapped segment <br />lengths, and the mapped orientations of the faults, as well as from comparisons to <br />analogs in similar tectonic environments. Rupture widths were developed based on the <br />type and estimated geometry of the fault, in conjunction with estimates of the Qustal <br />and seismogenic thickness. Slip rates for the Oil Creek, Ute Pass, Rampart Range and <br />Kennedy faults were calculated using the fault source activity and magnitude <br />pazameters of Butler and Nicholl (1986), and the earthquake magnitude versus fault <br />displacement relationships of Wells and Coppersmith (1994). Slip rates for the <br />remaining sources were estimated based on comparisons of their geologic and age <br />chazacteristics with respect to those of the Oil Creek, Ute Pass, Rampart Range and <br />Kennedy faults. <br />The closest potential seismogenic source to the site is the Oil Creek fault. It is considered <br />to be a normal-slip fault, has a total length of about 58 km (36 mi), and is located about 8 <br />km (5 mi) to the northeast at its closest approach to the site. Its MCE was calculated to <br />be a moment magnitude Mw 6.8. Based on the annual seismicity rate of 0.22E-4 for the <br />maximum earthquake on the Oil Creek fault from Butler and Nicholl (1986), which <br />equates to a recurrence interval of about 45,454 yeazs, and the calculated displacement <br />for the maximum earthquake event on the fault of about 1.2 m (4 ft), based on the <br />relationships of Wells and Coppersmith (1994), the slip rate was calculated to be 0.027 <br />mm/yr. <br />Development of Probabilistic Peak Ground Accelerations <br />The site-specific probabilistic seismic design output for the CC&V Project was <br />established in terms of the peak ground acceleration (PGA) and the return period for the <br />PGA. The return periods that were considered ranged from 100 yeazs to 2,500 years, <br />including a return period of 475 yeazs, which is equivalent to a risk level, and design life <br />Golder Auoelates <br />