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.. <br />Memo to Berhan Reffelew <br />Carlton Tailings Lift Thickness - Supplemental <br />page 2 <br />More normally, tailings are assumed to be cohesionless when <br />evaluating the conceptual stability of tailings structures. While <br />I believe the evaluation performed by Golder models one possible <br />scenario of concern, the "fast loading", I do not believe it is <br />sufficient to alleviate my concern. I suggest it would be <br />appropriate to also analyze the short term fill configuration <br />assuming a more traditional tailings strength assumption of zero <br />cohesion and a sensitivity range of conservative p values, such as <br />a range from 20° through the original laboratory value of 38°. <br />This sensitivity style analysis will provide additional insight <br />into the probable short term stability of tailings placed at lower <br />densities in unsaturated/drained conditions. Had undrained shear <br />tests been performed on the materials we would have specific <br />strength parameters for the evaluation. <br />Long Term Scenario <br />Apparently, I did not adequately communicate my longer term <br />stability concern to CC&VG and Golder. I continue to be concerned <br />that placing a low strength foundational layer of relocated Carlton <br />Mill Tailings beneath the Arequa Gulch excess overburden fill and <br />adjoining structure could facilitate a large scale rotational or <br />glide failure, even though the relocated highway embankment will <br />buttress the toe. Such a rotational failure could override the <br />highway embankment with a large scale compression ridge or material <br />flow, obliterating the surface and underdrain hydrology controls <br />and conceivably subjecting the public to a health and safety risk <br />within the relocated right-of-way. In order to evaluate this <br />scenario, Golder should repeat the original permit application <br />stability analysis for the gross cross-section transecting the <br />thalweg of Arequa Gulch and the adjacent and superimposed excess <br />overburden structure. Lacking specific Carlton Tailings material <br />properties for lower densities, I believe a similar sensitivity <br />style evaluation to be appropriate. <br />Summary Comments <br />If this more thorough short term and long term sensitivity style <br />stability analysis demonstrates the relocated Carlton Mill Tailings <br />structure to be stable, I will then recommend approval of CC&VG's <br />revision application. As a word of caution I must note, since <br />CC&VG continues to place the material in noncompliant lift <br />thickness, they are risking a costly reexcavation, recompaction and <br />replacement remedy. Finally, I also suspect that the placement of <br />material in low density condition, even if intrisically stable, may <br />result in operational problems when CC&VG attempts to place the <br />superimposed excess overburden material later. <br />