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• <br />i <br />Table G-1 <br />Application of Bayes Theorem <br /> Probability of Landslide Outcome <br /> Revised ProbabiiRies Based <br />Landslide Outcome Judgement Prediction Calculated Prediction Upon Bayes Theorem <br />Rapid 9% 11% <br /> .09x.11=.01=3,~ <br /> E F <br />Slow 34% 43% <br /> .34 X .43 = .1462 = 41 °k <br /> f E <br />Very Slow 46% 43% <br /> .46 x .43 = .1978 = 55% <br /> F E <br />Extremely Slow 11% 3% <br /> .11 x .03 _ .0033 = 1% <br /> f ~ <br /> 100% 100% 100% <br />F = .0099 + .1462 + .1979 + .0033 = .3140 <br />:~ <br />0626024\60555-]/CET <br />