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Subsidence Evaluation For <br />Exhibit 608 South o(Divide Mininv Area Pave 26 <br />strain is projected to range from 0.7 to 42 percent Subsidence depressions and slope changes <br />will be less above the gate road pillars than above sofid coal barriers, because they are projected <br />to yield during mining by as much as 4 feet (Table 2). <br />Alo subsidence depressions or changes in stream gradient were observed in Deep Creek, located <br />about 1,050 feet above mined longwall panel 17 during the annual traverse in Iuly 2004 <br />(Dunnrd 2004a)_ There was no observable change in stream gradient or in stream flow. The <br />depression and change in gradient were apparently sufficiently gradual, so as to not be perceived <br />by the author during the traverse along the trail by the stream. <br />11.3. i Potential for Hydraulic Connection Between Mine Workings and Surface <br />Aleaz the southwest comer of longwall panel E2, the Dry Fork channel encounters a short reach <br />where the E Seam overburden is less than 400 feet, with a minimum of 375 feel A prudent <br />concern is whether mining induced subsidence could establish a hydraulic connection between <br />the Dry Fork stream channel and the mine workings. To address this scenario, the maximum <br />projected height of fracturing and the maximum depth of surface cracks were considered. As <br />discussed in Section 5.2, the effective height of fracturing in the South of Divide mining area is <br />estimated to range from 9[ to 18t, or a maximum fracture height of 252 feet for a mining height <br />of 14 feet However, Peng (1992) states that the upper one-third of the fractured zone has only <br />minor fractures with little potential for water conductivity. Therefore, the height of the fractured <br />zone capable of transmitting water would betwo-thirds of the 18t, or 168 feet <br />• The maximum height of the caved zone is projected to be St, or 70 feet, for the South of Divide <br />mining area. When added to the effective fracture zone height of 168 feet, the combined heights <br />of the caved and fracture zones capable of transmitting water is projected to be a maximum of <br />238 feet <br />As discussed in Section 5.3.2, the maximum crack depth in the South of Divide mining area is <br />estimated W be 15 feet in terrains with slopes less than 30 percent, with depths up to 35 feet <br />occurring locally in steep topography. For [he Dry Fork channel neaz the western edge of <br />panel E2, the maximum projected crack depth is 15 feet Consequently, the combined maximum <br />heights of the caved and fractured zones and the maximum crack depth is 253 feet Even at the <br />minimum overburden thickness of 375 feet, an estimated 122 feet of unfractured bedrock will <br />remain in tact In addition, the presence of soft shales and claystones is the E Seam overburden <br />will increase the probability that the strata will warp rather than fracture during the subsidence <br />process. <br />11.4 Springs, Water-Bearing Zones, and Ground Water Wells <br />The Mormtain Coai Company Spring and Stock Pond Location Map for the South of Divide <br />shows one decreed spring (Spring 21), three springs found flowing at every site visit (in 1975, <br />1977, 1979, and 1980), thirty-three intemvttent springs, and two groundwater wells that are <br />currently monitored. Only a few springs in the West Elk Mine area indicate a source from a <br />local bedrock water-bearing zone. Most springs likely have sources from local water-bearing <br />zones in surficial material (debris flows, colluvium, and possibly alluvium}. <br />831-0.32.690 WixPubWaterEngirneer~ lnc. <br />