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Tabte 10-Described values at risk for spending on BAER projects by Region Region Number of Protects Llfe Property T and E Water Species Quality SoII Productivity _---- --------•---- PeroentofProjects-------- ----------- 1 56 2 29 14 14 14 2 20 5 35 0 70 50 3 69 4 29 7 26 58 4 45 18 47 33 60 44 5 201 10 51 8 41 24 6 79 8 33 11 58 52 All Regions 470 9 41 11 41 36 Table 11-Property subcategory breakdown of values at risk for spending on BAER projects by Region. Number of Cultural Water Region Protects Homes Roads Feature 3upplles Agriculture ---------------- --PercentofPro%ects------- ----------- 1 56 11 9 2 4 9 2 20 5 0 5 0 20 3 69 9 20 1 0 4 4 45 11 20 0 7 7 5 201 28 34 3 1 5 6 79 6 24 0 0 9 All Regions 470 17 25 2 2 7 rapidly growing wildland-urban interface fire prob- lem in the Weat, property protection is likely to keep growing ae a reason for implementing BAER treatments. Protection of life was listed ae a reason For conduct- ingBAER projects in Region 4 (18 percent) more often than in the other Regions. Water quality was cited over 50 percent of the time in Regions 2, 4, and 6, but only 14 percent of the time in Region 1, Soil productiv- ity was mentioned as a major purpose for BAER in Regions 2, 3, 4, and 6, with the moat concern (58 percent) expressed in the Region 3 (Arizona and New Mexico). Region 1 had a relatively low response for soil productivity. Protectionofthreatenedandendangered (T & E) species values was mentioned most frequently in Region 4 and not even listed as a reason for BAER projects in Region 2. Probability of Success The Burned Area Report form contains a section far estimating the probability of success for land, chan- nel, and road treatments 1, 3, and 5 years after implementation. This is required by FSH 2509.13- Burned Area Emergency Rehabilitation Handbook, WO Amendment 2509.13-95-9, effective U12/95, Chapter 30-Cost Riak Analysis and Evaluation of AlternativesforEmergencyRehabilitation, Part31.4 Probability of Success and Potential Resource Value Lose. The handbook states that the BAER team "..,should provide an interdisciplinary decision on the estimated probability of each alternative's ability to successfully minimize or eliminate emergency watershedconditions...."Probabilities ofsuceesa were provided for 321 of the 470 fires for which BAER reports were completed. The data did not contain any particular Region-to-Region trends. The combined treatment probability of success data (averages and ranges) showed a consistently higher predicted probability of success for road treatments than for hillslope and channel treatments (table 12). These estimations are the product of an interdisciplinary team decision and represent the combined experi- ence of the individual BAER team members. Cost of No Action/Alternatives Another section of the Burned Area Report form requires estimates of the costa of no action and pos- sibletreatment alternatives, as well as determination USDA Forest Service Gen. Tech, Rep. RMRS-GTR-83.2000 29