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SubTerra, Inc. Twentymile Coal Company 6/19/2003 <br />PR6 Rail Line Evaluation <br />1.2 Aaoroach <br />This phase of remedial planning followed the process used to estimate pre-ballasting <br />requirements for prior undermining of the Energy Spur. The overall approach included: <br />1. Extending track survey data input to the spreadsheet for the incremental length of track that <br />would be affected (to Station 370). <br />2. Comparing prior estimated subsidence with actual subsidence over Panels 12 and 13 Right. <br />3. Estimating the subsidence along each section of track for each panel extraction and the <br />associated re-leveling requirements. These are presented in both tabular and graphical form. <br />4. Evaluating whether re-elevation would require fill or ballast placement in Fish Creek or its <br />AVF. <br />Our approach utilized one large, integrated spreadsheet ko model maximum and transient <br />subsidence displacements at predetermined locations (or Stations) along the railroad alignment <br />for each of the planned longwall panels. Preliminary assessments were also made of the <br />increase in ballast height required during partial re-leveling of the Energy Spur as each panel <br />passes beneath it. <br />The starting track elevations for Stations down track to Station 370 were determined from prior <br />baseline surveys and survey data obtained during 12-Right and 13-Right undermining of the <br />Energy Spur supplemented by an April, 2002 survey by Twentymile Coal Company. <br />• 2. Subsidence Prediction <br />A substantial quantity of subsidence data has been collected by Twentymile Coal Company over <br />more than a decade during the extraction of longwall panels ranging from 625-ft to 1,000-ft wide <br />at depths from 600-ft to over 1,000-ft. These data were used to create Figure 2, which shows the <br />relationship between maximum subsidence and the panel width/panel depth ratio. <br />Cover in the Northern Mining District is typically thicker than elsewhere in the mine and ranges <br />from 1,100 to 1,200-ft providing for panel width/panel depth ratios of from 0.7 to 0.8 in the vicinity <br />of the Energy Spur. Figure 3 shows transverse subsidence profile predictions for the first and <br />subsequent panels. Subsequent extraction of the third and subsequent panels is predicted to <br />result in profiles having the same shape as the second profile in Figure 3 centered about the <br />center of the third panel (see Figure 5) or subsequent panels. These are the predicted final <br />profiles that would be realized after a panel has passed at least full depth past the point of the <br />section. <br />As noted above, two panels have previously undermined the Energy Spur in the Northern Mining <br />District. Subsidence data, obtained from surveys of ground stations conducted during these two <br />periods of undermining, were used to check the initial predictions. The results of the comparison <br />are shown in Figure 4. Figure 4 shows the initial effects of 12 Right and then the cumulative <br />effects of 12 and 13 Right. Initial subsidence over the rigid-yield pillar pair is slightly less than <br />predicted and a broader hump results from the subsequent extraction of the adjacent panel. This <br />tendency has been checked for in the current prediction. <br />Table 1 and Figure 6 shows the predicted subsidence profile along the Energy Spur due to 14- <br />• Right undermining. The "predicted subsidence" curve was calculated by subtracting the original <br />cumulative prediction for 13 Right from the original cumulative prediction for 14 Right. This <br />