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West Elk Mine <br />(~ With the findings and observations provided above as background information, the permit <br />document now toms to site-specific evaluation of probable hydrologic consequences (PHCs), based <br />on data from the current permit area, which includes the Box Canyon permit revision area. <br />PHCs are projected based on past experience, expected rates of water use and water discharge, <br />location and extent of mining (and subsidence) relative to basin geology and hydrology, and <br />hydrogeologic conditions of the mined interval and its overburden. <br />The probable surface and groundwater hydrologic consequences presented herein assume <br />implementation of the West Elk mining plan as shown on Map 51 and Map 52. This mining plan is <br />subject to refinement during detailed mine plan preparations by MCC. However, for purposes of <br />discussing anticipated hydrologic consequences, these plans (Map 51 and Map 52) reasonably <br />represent what will occur. <br />The discussion in the following sections specifically refer to events that occun•ed during 1996 and <br />1997 because they represent a divergence from the typical mine inflows the West Elk Mine <br />experienced in the past. MCC will provide the status of the past and any future large inflows, <br />including details regarding quality and quantity and how the water was managed in subsequent <br />Annual Hydrology Reports. <br />WWE's September 18, 1995 memorandum to CDMG entitled: "Basis for WWE's estimate of 15 to <br />20 acre-feet of Average Annual Hydrologic Impacts Due to Proposed Mining in Apache Rocks <br />+. Permit Revision Area" (Exhibit 19D), estimated that, using conservative assumptions, the <br />maximum average annual "loss" to the mine workings of waters from springs, streams, <br />groundwater and stock ponds in the Apache Rocks pemut revision area would be 15 to 20 acre-feet. <br />In the Apache Rocks permit revision application (PR06), W WE coricluded that: "This water will be <br />collected underground, pumped to the surface, treated and released into the North Fork or Dry Fork. <br />There is little practical consequence associated with losses of this magnitude." This was WWE's <br />projection prior to the fault inflows at the mine in 1996 and eazly 1997. The fault inflows represent <br />a major new source that was not accounted for in the September~l8, 1995 WWE memorandum. <br />The analysis in that memorandum remains valid; however, the analysis must be broadened to <br />include the fault inflows. The text that follows explicitly describes haw fault inflows change the <br />hydrologic balance at the West Elk Mine, and presents the associated hydrologic consequences. For <br />each of the key PHC elements (surface water quanfity, surface water quality, groundwater quantity <br />and groundwater quality), key findings are presented. <br />The PHCs anticipated within the current permit and Box Canyon pernut revision areas are <br />presented as follows: <br />1. Surface Water Quantity Effects. <br />2. Surface Water Quality Effects. <br />3. Groundwater Quantity Effects. <br />4. Groundwater Quality Effects. <br />~i <br />1.05-148 <br />November 2004 PRI / <br />