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• were noticeably greater beneath the ridges than they were beneath more uniform overburden of <br />similaz thickness, because there is little or no lateral constraint to distribute the weight of the <br />isolated load of the ridge. <br />The rugged topography on the north, west, and south flanks of West Flatiron may cause stresses to <br />be concentrated beneath isolated ridges. Overburden thickness will increase by 500 to 1,000 feet in <br />horizontal distances of 1,500 feet similar to the isolated ridge north of the first east-trending side <br />canyon of Sylvester Gulch. <br />Fracture-Controlled Drainages <br />Based on mapping by Mr. Dunrud in the Somerset area and on recent field work, Mr. Dunrud <br />believes that there is reasonably good, but certainly not conclusive, evidence that the drainages <br />(Sylvester Gulch, an unnamed drainage west of Box Canyon, and Box Canyon) in the Box Canyon <br />permit revision area are controlled by north-trending fractures and/or joints. These fractures have <br />been caused in part by stresses generated by the West Elk Mountain intrusive bodies -particularly <br />Mt. Gunnison. Section 2.04.6 (Geology Description) includes additional discussion and references <br />relating to the nature and continuity of fractures. <br />The conservative approach may be to assume that the drainage system is fracture controlled. But <br />even if fractures control the present drainage system, they may notextend downwazd as continuous <br />joints of fractures to the B-Seam located several hundreds of feet below. Even if the fractures were <br />• present in the more brittle sandstone units, it would be very unlikely that these fractures would <br />occur in the softer siltstone and shale units. Even under the ,conservative approach that the <br />drainages in the Box Canyon permit revision azea are fracture cohtrolled, it is extremely unlikely <br />that they extend downward to the B-Seam through multiple shale and siltstone units. Using this <br />conservative evaluation, it is now important to evaluate the poterifial impact that subsidence may <br />have on any pre-mining fractures. <br />Evaluation of subsidence due to downwarping of laterally-constrained strata shows that rock strata <br />with different deformation and strength characteristics deform as discrete units. For example, strata <br />of shale and siltsone behave as units discrete from sandstone. Above the fractured zone and within <br />the continuous deformation zone these units undergo continuous flexure (Figure 1, enlazgement 2 of <br />Exhibit 60). Above the neutral surfaces, in zones of convex-upwazd curvature, the material is in <br />tension and below them, the material is in compression. <br />Consequently, stresses change across neutral surfaces from tension to compression with each <br />successive rock unit that deform§ as a plate. Fractures already present would thus tend to open <br />more in the zones of tension and close more in the zones of compression than would be the case for <br />these fractures prior to mining and subsidence. The Box Canyori and unnamed drainage west of <br />Box Canyon channels are above the maximum estimated height of jthe fracture zone (i.e., 20t or 240 <br />feet fora 12-foot coal-extraction thickness). <br />After longwall mining is completed in the area and static conditions are attained, the zones of <br />• tension and compression commonly cease, and any fractures present will likely resume the pre- <br />mining condition. Therefore, the impacts on surface flow in the drainage of the Box Canyon <br />2.05-126 <br />March 2005PR71 <br />l~,e h <br /> <br />