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. augmentation plan (Exhibit 52). Losses within the mine are minor -less than 5 percent of <br />~ the total inflow which could be experienced. The decreed augmentation plan for the Dry <br />Fork basin conservatively provides replacement water for 100 percent of the yield of the <br />basin. The magnitude of replacement water provided by MCC in the Dry Fork/Minnesota <br />Creek basin is orders of magnitude more than will be required, based upon the subsidence <br />evaluation conducted by W WE with Messrs. Rold and Dunrud. <br />There is a very small risk (WWE has calculated the risk to be less than one percent that one <br />or more of the stock ponds in the Apache Rocks permit revision azea could be adversely <br />affected via surface cracks, This risk calculation also holds for the Box Canyon permit <br />revision area. Pond water could be diverted into locally permeable zones within the <br />overburden where it could: (1) migrate down-dip towazd the North Fork or Dry Fork to <br />become part of the tributary alluviaUcolluvial contribution of baseflow to the stream system, <br />(2) reappeaz as an ephemeral seep or spring, or (3) become strapped as storage in an isolated <br />zone within the overburden. If any of these circumstances were to occur, they would render <br />the affected stock pond temporarily useless for retaining surface water. However, the lost <br />water would eventually return to the Dry Fork and/or North Fork. The stock pond <br />embankments could conceivably be effected by surface cracking; although, the probability <br />of this occurring is insignificant. <br />It is important to note that the overburden materials in the permit area contain numerous shale and <br />claystones layers and lenses which tend to undergo plastic deformation under compression, thereby <br />• sealing fractures which develop. In addition, the sediment load within surface flows (especially <br />during spring runoff) will tend to fill surface cracks which may develop, thus further reducing the <br />potential to transmit water downward. <br />The most severe subsurface hydrologic consequences include: <br />Formation of interconnected fractures in the fracture zone with local water-bearing units of <br />the overburden, thereby inducing either: (1) the movement of groundwater from one <br />formation to another or (2) loss of water to the mine workings. Should diversion to the mine <br />occur, this water will be collected, treated, and dischazged into the North Fork or the Dry <br />Fork (see discussion above regarding the implications ofi surface water dischazges to the <br />North Fork and Dry Fork). <br />As discussed extensively within this permit document, there are no regional aquifers within <br />the Mesauerde Formation in the vicinity of the West Elk Mine, nor is there demonstrated <br />formation groundwater use at the mine or in the general area. Consequently, there aze no <br />aquifers which could be damaged as a result of subsidence: While there has been a sizeable <br />amount of groundwater inflow observed from recently ericountered fault systems (B East <br />Mains and 14SE Headgate) there is no evidence to indicate any use of that water regionally. <br />In addition, the observed inflows from these fault systems have decreased over time to a <br />small percentage of the initial inflows, similar to other groundwater encounters in the mine. <br />• Interconnection of fractures filled with water and methane: (as reported in the Oliver No. 2 <br />• Mine) with the mine workings via the B-Seam fracture zone. This subject is discussed later <br />in this section and in Exhibit 60. <br />2.05-109 March IOOSPRI! ~ 1L D!7 <br />