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Cripple Creek & Victor Gold Mining Company July 21, 2005 <br />Timm C. Comer -3- 053-2399 <br />The prism survey data was also analyzed using the method presented by Pettey et al. (2002). This <br />method of analysis is commonly used to evaluate potential landslide and slope stability problems and <br />consists of plotting the time-series of the inverse of velocity for each prism. The shape and slope of <br />the time-series of the inverse of velocity are then used [o assess the type of behavior within the slope. <br />In general, if a slope is trending toward potential failure, the velocity of movement will increase with <br />time as crack growth and ducleation occurs. As the velocity increases, the inverse of velocity <br />decreases. The intercept of the inverse of velocity line with the time axis can then be used to estimate <br />the potential time to failure. Studies on failing slopes have indicated that the shape of the inverse <br />velocity curve can be related to internal mechanics: <br />Linear trends occur when crack growth is the dominant process within the mass; <br />and <br />• Non-linear [rends develop as slidiag occurs along apre-existing shear surface <br />A typical inverse velocity plot is shown in Figure 3. Appendix B presents time-series plots of prism <br />data for the SGOSA, and include: total displacement, velocity, and inverse velocity. As evident from <br />the time-series plots, there is considerable variation in the velocity and inverse velocity curves of the <br />SGOSA prisms. The measurement records show velocity increases and decreases over time without a <br />definite trend. This type of behavior indicates that the prisms are not monitoring a potential failing <br />slope, where movements would be more consistent. The prisms are monitoring a mass that is moving <br />at different rates, which would be more indicative of three-dimensional deformation related to <br />settlement. Therefore, based on the prism data, the measured movements of the SGOSA facIlity are <br />not indicative of potential major slope failure. <br />Slope Stability Analysis <br />A slope stability analysis was conducted to further verify the interpretations and conclusions reached <br />based on the prism data. The slope stability analysis was conducted on a critical cross-section section <br />cut through the facility. The location of the critical cross-section and the cross-section itself is <br />presented in Figure 4. The critical cross-section is along the axis of Squaw Gulch, where there is the <br />maximum overburden thickness with a minimal buttressing effect from the valley sideslopes. <br />The stability analyses included overburden, subgrade soils, and bedrock. The material properties used <br />for the ana]yses are summarized in Table 1. The shear strength of the overburden was back-calculated <br />using the observed angle of repose and fitting the data to rockfill shear strengths presented by Leps <br />(1970). The results of the stability analyses are presented in Appendix C. <br />The stability analyses were conducted using SLIDE 5.0, a commercially available computer program <br />(Rocscience, 2000). Stability analyses were conducted for both static and earthquake loading <br />scenarios. For each loading scenario, arcuate modes of failure were analyzed using Spencer's method <br />(Spencer, 1967) to determine the least stable failure surface via the critical surface search routine. <br />Static loads were calculated based on self-weight of the overburden and subgrade materials. <br />The stability analyses focused on-theoretical, relatively deep-seated failure surfaces involving a <br />significant volume of overburden and the subgrade materials at the base of the facility. Shallow slip <br />surfaces involving only the "outer skin" of the overburden materials in the SGOSA facility aze not <br />germane to a stability analysis. Such shallow-seated movements aze expected as part of waste <br />i~.osz~vmacroscosasr~n~.~mziasosrzss.aooam.da Golder Associates <br />