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SubTerra, Inc. Twentymile Coal Company OSI28I03 <br />PR6 AVF Subsidence Evaluation <br />• Several assumptions were made to simplify the analysis: <br />Fish Creek elevation will rise, relative to the surrounding ground, a distance equal to <br />predicted ground subsidence at that point. <br />The effects of spring run-off on creek elevation would be in addition to the effects of <br />subsidence. <br />3.2Aaproach <br />Our approach involved superimposing estimated subsidence on over 100,000 data points <br />representing Fish Creek and the immediate high bank adjacent to Fish Creek and comparing the <br />subsided elevations with existing (i.e., un-subsided) creek levels. The following tasks were <br />performed: <br />1. Cross-sections including the north high bank (NHB), north toe (Ntoe), creek bottom <br />(CB), south toe (Stoe), and south high bank (SHB) of Fish Creek were developed from <br />a survey of the AVF containing approximately 10,000 data points completed during the <br />initial study (SubTerra, Inc., 1999). Additional survey data covering the additional area <br />over 17, 18, and 19-Right were subsequently incorporated into this data set. <br />2. An excel spreadsheet was developed that contained each of the data points for <br />approximately 10,000 linear feet of Fish Creek (Stations 0+00 to 100+00) with <br />Sections on 50-ft centers (see Table 1 and Drawing 2). <br />• 3. Approximately 120,000 data points, representing the ground surface over the eastern <br />end of Panels 16, 17, 18, and 19-Right were imported from AUTOCAD and added to <br /> the AVF data in the spreadsheet. <br />4. This data set was numerically subsided in the spreadsheet. Two data sets were <br /> created to represent the subsided surface following 17-Right extraction and the <br /> subsided surface following 17 and 18-Right extraction. <br />5. Each numerically subsided data set was exported back to AUTOCAD and a new <br /> subsided topography was created for each set. <br />6. The 3-D plane, representing the un-subsided water surface of Fish Creek, was then <br /> expanded to meet the subsided ground surface and the new area of this surface was <br /> determined. This exercise was repeated for each subsided data set representing <br /> Panel 17-Right extraction (Drawing 3) and Panel 17 and 18-Right extraction (Drawing <br /> 4). <br />7. The potential effects of Panel 19-Right were evaluated using the Start Profile shown in <br /> Figure 3 and data contained in Table 1. Subsidence in the vicinity of Fish Creek and <br /> its AVF was estimated to be less than 6-inches and Fish Creek was not predicted to <br /> overtop its bank at this location. <br />3.3 AVF Subsidence Predictions <br />The initial and predicted final elevations of the bottom of Fish Creek are shown in Table 2 and <br />• Figure 7, for 17-Right and Table 3 and Figure 8 for 17 and 18-Right, Summary data include: <br />• Subsidence ranging from 0 to 67 inches. <br />3 pN: 2002-06 <br />