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<br />J.E. Stover & Associates -31- May 31, 1996 <br />Bowie No. 2 Mine <br />1.2 MINING SCHEDULE AND RATE OF SUBSIDENCE <br />The preparer states; "It is reasonable to assume that the initial <br />subsidence is negligible compared to the final, maximum <br />subsidence." The report further states; "While subsidence of <br />small magnitude will occur during mining of entries and rooms, <br />the majority of the subsidence will occur during and after pillar <br />recovery." These statements are generally true, but not <br />necessarily certain; particularly if discontinuities in the rock <br />mass, such as faults, are encountered during development. These <br />discontinuities can become the locus of dramatic short-term <br />ground mass response. Instances of this phenomena occurred <br />within the East workings of the Bowie No. 1 mine (previously the <br />Orchard Valley mine). For this reason it is important to <br />anticipate the possible subsidence implications of faults within <br />the mine plan area. <br />The preparer relates a general conceptual characterization of <br />subsidence response above retreating longwall workings, as <br />developed by Gentry and Abel above the York Canyon Mine's <br />longwall workings. The application of longwall subsidence <br />experience to room and pillar extraction assumes that efficient <br />and relatively complete pillar recovery will be accomplished. In <br />instances where pillar recovery, due to bad ground conditions, <br />equipment problems, or water problems is less efficient than <br />projected, the distribution of strain, the magnitude of ultimate <br />subsidence, and the timing of subsidence will be effected. <br />Therefore, it will be important to establish the effectiveness of <br />pillar recovery in retreat early in the operation of the Bowie <br />No. 2 mine. Further, if recovery proves to be less than <br />projected, it may be necessary to place high resolution monuments <br />above early panels to determine the actual character of ground <br />subsidence manifested. <br />1.3 SUBSIDENCE MAGNITUDE AND PROFILE <br />The preparer references an NCB method for projecting the maximum <br />subsidence above a panel of sub-critical width. Figure 15-3, a <br />reproduction of Figure 3 of the Subsidence Engineer's Handbook <br />(SEH), is used to determine the projected maximum subsidence <br />above a partially extracted super-critical panel. Exhibit 15 <br />determines a subsidence factor (Smax} of 0.472 for this <br />situation, which results in a maximum projected vertical <br />subsidence of for the 12.0 feet extracted height of 0.472 x 12.0 <br />feet = 5.7 feet. The preparer next applies figure 4 of the SEH, <br />which corrects maximum projected subsidence for the effects of <br />sub-critical panel width. Exhibit 15 determines an s/S <br />(subsidence correction factor} of 0.23. In accordance with SEH <br />methodology the super-critical panel maximum subsidence is <br />