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Desalation-Gray Canyon Black Rocks <br /> rnnn 16W <br /> 5000 1400 <br /> 1 JCM] - <br /> 4000 <br /> low <br /> 3000 8W <br /> 2000 f,On - T <br /> 4 Ill <br /> 1000 W - <br /> 200 <br /> n n <br /> 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 1996 1998 2000 20D2 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2D14 <br /> Cataract Canyon Westwater <br /> 1800 14000 <br /> 1600 <br /> 131M70 <br /> 1400 <br /> E 1WU0 <br /> V, 1200 <br /> 1000 8WD <br /> c <br /> m <br /> c 800 MM <br /> 600 4Wn <br /> Q 400 <br /> 2W00 <br /> 200 <br /> 6 <br /> 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 IJ96 1J98 2900 2W2 2004 2006 2UD9 2010 2012 2014 <br /> Figure 8. Adult humpback chub population estimates with confidence intervals for four <br /> populations in the upper Colorado River Basin(note that the scale differs among the graphs for <br /> the different populations). Clockwise from upper left: Desolation-Gray Canyons(from Badame <br /> 2011,2012; Service 2015a);Black Rocks(from Francis and McAda 2011);Westwater Canyon <br /> (from Elverud 2011); and Cataract Canyon(from Badame 2008). <br /> On the Colorado River of the upper Colorado River basin,three humpback chub populations are <br /> recognized. Black Rocks and Westwater Canyon have enough exchange of individuals that they <br /> are considered a single core population. In Black Rocks, estimates of wild adults have varied <br /> from about 800 in 1998, 900 in 1999, and 500 in 2000 and 2003 (Figure 8) (McAda 2007). The <br /> most recent estimates, in 2007-2008 were 345 and 287,respectively. During the fall of 2011 <br /> and 2012, 78 and 112 individual adult humpback chub were caught respectively - similar to the <br /> numbers caught in 2007 and 2008 (61 and 74,respectively). Population estimates for Black <br /> Rocks for 2011 and 2012 were 379 and 403,respectively. Researchers caution that 78 <br /> largemouth bass and the same number of gizzard shad were collected in Black Rocks in 2012. <br /> This represents a ten-fold increase over the 2011 catch. The Westwater Canyon estimates of <br /> wild adults range from about 4,700 in 1998 to 2,500 in 1999, 2000, and 2003 (Jackson and <br /> Hudson 2005). The 2007-2008 estimates were about 1,750 and 1,300. The large declines in <br /> humpback chub densities in both Black Rocks and Westwater Canyons occurred in the late <br /> 1990's and are not attributed to more recent increases of nonnative predators in the Colorado <br /> River. <br /> In 2008,the core population (Black Rocks /Westwater combined) dropped below the population <br /> size downlist criterion (MVP= 2,100 adults) for the first time. In 2011,we saw some recovery <br /> in those populations where the estimate for adults in Westwater Canyon alone was 1,467; <br /> 26 <br />