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h IULal LJ.CUIULYIJL klt LgUCO=U a11U11yIIIILy)IIaJ ILa LUU UIaL LHU UIIUUILJ.IUUIIU WaLGI ,UU1UC0 LUUay JUpply JVIIIC <br /> undetermined amount of water to Grape Creek and the Arkansas River.This helps maintain water levels and <br /> temperatures of the creek and river. He believes it is possible that the mine's consumption of water could <br /> reverse that flow: i.e.to fill an underground void,water could be drawn from the creek and/or river,further <br /> depleting water resources. <br /> The above analysis is acknowledged in the permit application.The following text is from section 2.7.1 of the <br /> application;"The mine is expected to intercept some ground water within that material and will be dewatered to <br /> allow for mining.Accordingly,the mine does have the potential to impact ground water systems in the vicinity of <br /> the proposed mine as a result of the mine dewatering in the form of water level changes in the aquifers.The <br /> ground water level changes have the potential to indirectly impact surface water systems in the form of stream <br /> depletions." <br /> Conclusions and objections: <br /> Zephyr has not accurately stated its water consumption from underground sources, has an insufficient method <br /> of monitoring water depletion,and it does not know how water depletion will be impacted. <br /> WATER POLLUTION: <br /> U.S. Gold Mines:Spills&Failures Report surveys federal and state data and news reports to compile operating <br /> records of 27 operating U.S.gold mines accounting for 93%of national gold production.The study shows: <br /> •Gold mines always spill-Gold mines responsible for 93%of U.S.gold production have accidentally spilled <br /> cyanide,mine waste,diesel,or other hazardous materials. <br /> •Gold mines almost always pollute water-74%of operating gold mines polluted surface and/or groundwater, <br /> including drinking water. <br /> •When gold mines don't pollute water, it's almost always because there's no water nearby-of the mines that <br /> didn't pollute water,only one had a perennial stream in the project area. <br /> Source(2017): New Study:74%of U.S.gold mines pollute water-Earthworks <br /> Dr. Emerman's relevant conclusions: <br /> #4 There is no plan for the treatment of mine water before it is released into the environment. <br /> #6 The application never uses the word"dam"and does not recognize that the structural zone of the filtered <br /> tailings facility would constitute a dam that should conform to dam safety standards. <br /> #7 The structural zone/dam would be constructed using the upstream method in which the dam is built on top of <br /> the lightly-compacted tailings that it is confining. In the event of the liquefaction of the tailings,the dam will <br /> collapse into the underlying tailings. For that reason,the method of upstream construction is illegal in Brazil, <br /> Chile, Ecuador and Peru. <br /> #8 There is no consideration of the susceptibility to liquefaction of the lightly compacted tailings confined by the <br /> structural zone or the circumstances under which liquefaction could occur. <br /> #9 The documents from Zephyr Minerals Ltd include no consideration of the consequences of failure of the <br /> filtered tailings facility.According to a statistical model of past tailings dam failures,following failure of the <br /> tailings dam at the Dawson mine, under the most-likely scenario(loss of 35%of the stored tailings after 5 years <br /> of operation),the tailings will travel 11,905 feet during the initial runout. Under the worst-case scenario(loss of <br /> 100%of the stored tailings after 5 years of operation),the tailings will travel 37,098 feet(over 7 miles)to Grape <br /> Creek and then to the Arkansas River and through the center of Canon City during the initial runout. <br /> Subsequent normal fluvial processes will transport the tailings indefinitely down the Arkansas River <br /> #10 Based on Colorado,as well as most national and international dam safety standards,and the potential for <br /> loss of human life and habitat destruction following dam failure,the filtered tailings facility should be designed to <br /> withstand at least 90%of the Probable Maximum Precipitation(PMP). <br /> #11 Although the static stability analysis of the filtered tailings facility indicated an acceptable factor of safety,all <br /> geotechnical input parameters were assumed without justification.The tailings densities were based on <br /> measurements on tailings samples from a different ore deposit(Windy Gulch),an assumed ability to compact <br /> the tailings to 95%of the maximum density within the structural zone,and an apparent confusion between dry <br /> and moist unit weights.There was no mention of the assumed height of the water table or any discussion of the <br /> water table height that would result in dam instability or the circumstances under which such a water table <br /> height would occur. <br /> #12 The diversion channels for the filtered tailings facility would be designed to accommodate a 24-hour storm <br /> with a return period of 10 years during mine operation.On that basis,the probability of rewetting the tailings by <br /> runoff would be 10%in any given year of mine operation and 41%over the five years of mine operation. <br /> Following mine closure,the diversion channels would be reconstructed to accommodate a 24-hour storm with a <br /> return period of 100 years,so that the probability of rewetting the tailings by runoff would be 1%in any given <br /> year of the indefinite period of mine closure.There is no analysis of the consequences of rewetting either in <br /> terms of dam stability or increasing the susceptibility of the tailings to liquefaction. <br /> The design of the channels to accommodate a 24-hour storm with a return period of 100 years after mine <br /> closure means that, in any given year of the indefinite time period following mine closure,the probability of <br /> overtopping of the channels will be 1%. On that basis,the probability that overtopping of the channels will occur <br /> at least once durinq,say,the next 60 years(two human qenerations),is 45%,so that overtoppinq of the <br />