CONSERVATION GROUPS’ COMMENTS
<br />UNCOMPAHGRE FIELD OFFICE RMP AND DEIS
<br />90
<br />resilient ecosystems. Although the BLM has recognized the threat of climate change, the
<br />agency’s decisionmaking is not reflective of this harm and the agency fails to take the many
<br />necessary and meaningful steps to ameliorate the impacts to communities, landscapes, and
<br />species.
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<br />Moreover, CEQ Guidance requires that agencies address the impacts of climate change
<br />on the environmental consequences of a proposed action. As the CEQ Guidance recognizes,
<br />“[c]limate change can make a resource, ecosystem, human community, or structure more
<br />susceptible to many types of impacts and lessen its resilience to other environmental impacts
<br />apart from climate change.” Final Climate Guidance at 21. These effects are already occurring
<br />and are expected to increase, resulting in shrinking water resources, extreme flooding events,
<br />invasion of more combustible non-native plant species, soil erosion, loss of wildlife habitat, and
<br />larger, hotter wildfires. These impacts have been catalogued in recent scientific studies by
<br />federal agencies, including the National Climate Assessment,270 and highlighted by President
<br />Obama. See Exec. Order No. 13,653, § 1. As the CEQ Guidance recognizes, “GHGs already in
<br />the atmosphere will continue altering the climate system into the future, even with current or
<br />future emissions control efforts.” Final Climate Guidance at 20. In other words, climate change
<br />impacts are and will continue to be part of the new normal, and “managing th[o]se risks requires
<br />deliberate preparation, close cooperation, and coordinated planning … to improve climate
<br />preparedness and resilience; help safeguard our economy, infrastructure, environment, and
<br />natural resources; and provide for the continuity of … agency operations, services, and
<br />programs.” Exec. Order No. 13,653, § 1.
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<br />NEPA analyses must account for this reality. While the CEQ Guidance suggests that
<br />existing and reasonably foreseeable climate change impacts be considered as part of an agency’s
<br />hard look at impacts, the guidance must also account for the fact that climate change effects are
<br />and will continue to be a key component of the environmental baseline. Agencies are required
<br />under NEPA to “describe the environment of the areas to be affected or created by the
<br />alternatives under consideration.” 40 C.F.R. § 1502.15. The affected environment discussion sets
<br />the “baseline” for the impacts analysis and comparison of alternatives. As the Ninth Circuit has
<br />recognized, “without establishing…baseline conditions…there is simply no way to determine
<br />what effect [an action] will have on the environment, and consequently, no way to comply with
<br />NEPA.” Half Moon Bay Fisherman’s Marketing Ass’n v. Carlucci, 857 F.2d 505, 510 (9th Cir.
<br />1988) (explaining further that “[t]he concept of a baseline against which to compare predictions
<br />of the effects of the proposed action and reasonable alternatives is critical to the NEPA
<br />process”).
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<br />Excluding climate change effects from the environmental baseline ignores the reality that
<br />the impacts of proposed actions must be evaluated based on the already deteriorating, climate-
<br />impacted state of the resources, ecosystems, human communities, and structures that will be
<br />affected. Accordingly, BLM must clarify that existing and reasonably foreseeable climate change
<br />impacts as part of the affected environment in the planning area, which then must be assessed as
<br />part of the agency’s hard look at impacts, and integrated into each of the alternatives, including
<br />the no action alternative. Put differently, simply acknowledging climate impacts as part of the
<br /> 270 Available at http://nca2014.globalchange.gov/ (attached as Exhibit 6).
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