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occur at the rate of two people for each car, the maximum access traffic level would be reduced to approximately <br />200 round -trips per day. <br />Shift changes for the access traffic are expected at 7:00 am, 3:00 pm, and 11:00 am. However, there is a possibility <br />40 <br />that each of these changes may be modified. The amount of access traffic for each shift change during peak traffic <br />years (1992 -2015) would be approximately 278, 278, and 238 cars on the access road around the time of each 7:00 <br />am, 3:00 pm, 11:00 am shift change, respectively. These numbers would be halved if two - for -one car- pooling <br />occurs. <br />The total magnitude of elk and mule deer migration through the permit area and use of critical winter range in the <br />permit area has not been well documented. General observations made by Terrell Johnson (the Applicant's wildlife <br />biologist) during aerial surveys for the general area indicate that the greatest numbers (400 -500) of elk occur in <br />Twentymile park during migration in late fall and early winter. As winter progresses and snow levels in the park <br />increase, most of these animals move on to wintering areas to the west of the permit area, although some remain in <br />critical winter range on the permit area (see Map 19, Elk Biological Features). There is less known concerning the <br />migration of mule deer through Twentymile park, but numbers of migrating mule deer in the park are thought to be <br />significantly less than those observed for elk. In the spring, elk migrate back to summer ranges, but not as many <br />are observed passing through the permit area due to their tendency to stay along the mountain shrub zones along the <br />perimeter of the park. A summer population of elk also resides in the foothills along the northwest boundary of the <br />permit area. A scattered population of mule deer inhabit the foothills around the perimeter of the permit area from <br />spring to fall until snow levels force them into their winter range as shown on Map 20, Mule Deer Biological <br />Features. <br />Most big game road -kill studies have focused on stretches of major highways where a high incidence of mule <br />deer /vehicle collisions has been documented. Myers and Reed (n.d.) in their study of deer /vehicle collisions <br />throughout Colorado found that 53.2 percent of deer road -kills occurred between sunset and four hours after sunset. <br />Only 9.7 percent were killed from three hours before sunrise to sunrise, and an additional 17.6 percent were killed <br />• at other times of the night, for a total of 80.5 percent killed from sunset to sunrise. Myers and Reed (n.d.) also <br />presented data that the majority (87 percent) of mule deer /vehicle collisions occurred at highway speeds greater <br />than 40 mph and that 70 percent of all collisions occurred at speeds greater than 50 mph. In a study along High 82 <br />south of Glenwood Springs, 52 percent of the deer fatalities occurred between 6:00 and 10:00 pm (Reed 1969). <br />Reed (1969) also found that the sections of highway where the greatest number of deer were killed did not always <br />correlate with the sections of highway where the most live deer were counted during night spotlight surveys. Reed <br />(1969) concluded that, in order to identify problem road -kill areas, a knowledge of the magnitude and location of <br />deer road -kills is needed in addition to knowing where deer congregate along a highway. It is assumed that the <br />conclusions made in these studies would also be applicable to elk, but few studies focusing on elk/vehicle collisions <br />could be found. The general lack of studies on elk road -kills may be an indication that the frequency of elk/vehicle <br />collisions is much less than that for deer /vehicle collisions. This could be a result of an elk's much greater size <br />(making it easier to see and avoid at night) and/or be related to different aspects of an elk's behavior along roads as <br />compared to deer. In studies by Ward et al. (1976), it was found that elk were more sensitive to traffic than were <br />mule deer and pronghorn. They noted that elk preferred to stay at least 0.25 mi (400 m) from moving traffic, and <br />that most highway crossings by elk occurred at night during low traffic periods. Elk avoidance of roads is more <br />pronounced for main roads and roads that pass through open vegetation types (Perry and Overly 1975). Ward et al. <br />(1980) showed that elk preferred to cross roads where the slope perpendicular to the road was less than 20 percent. <br />This preference for shallow slopes when approaching a road would increase their visibility to approaching <br />motorists, thereby reducing the potential for collision. <br />Based on the information presented and discussed above on elk and mule deer numbers in Twentymile Park, it <br />appears that the greatest potential for big game road -kills may be associated with elk during fall migration. A low <br />potential would be expected for spring migrating elk and for wintering elk and mule deer where haul and access <br />roads travel in proximity to critical winter range. The actual magnitude of these potentials is impossible to derive <br />• without baseline information on the number of road -kills versus traffic levels. In the studies reviewed, no attempts <br />were made to project number of road -kills versus increased traffic levels. Variables such as weather, changes over <br />time in animal movement and numbers, timing of traffic levels, topography, etc. make it extremely difficult to make <br />such projections. Historically, areas in Colorado that have had the highest incidence of mule deer /vehicle collisions <br />RN08 -05 2.04 -69 03/12/10 <br />