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Cultural Resource Site Assessments for Collom Expansion Project Co/owyo <br />5.0 HIGH POTENTIAL AREAS <br />Colowyo requested that Tetra Tech define High Potential Areas (HPAs) for the permitted <br />disturbance areas defined for the Collom expansion. HPAs area are defined as having a high <br />potential to bury and preserve previously un -identified subsurface cultural resources. The HPAs <br />were developed using data collected during 2015 site assessments, disturbance area specific <br />environmental data, and information gathered during other previous cultural resource work <br />conducted in the area. The permitted disturbance area was subjected to Class III cultural resource <br />inventory in 2005 and no significant cultural resource were identified within the area (Lowe et al. <br />2006). None of the 15 cultural resource sites revisited in 2015 are located within the permitted <br />disturbance area. <br />5.1 Suitability Analysis <br />Tetra Tech employed GIS -based suitability analysis as currently available on ArcGIS version 10.3 <br />to define the HPAs for the permitted disturbance area. Suitability analysis is a raster -based GIS <br />process designed to, given a specific goal/question, assist in determining the appropriateness of <br />an area using a selected series of spatial data variables. The analysis combines assigned values <br />of multiple selected variables to comparatively ranked locations within a defined area relative to <br />their ability to fulfill that goal or answer a specific question(s). The modeler selects the rasters of <br />variables known, or suspected, to most influence the suitability of a given area based on the <br />overall question. The rasters are re-classified by the modeler to be comparable; weighted <br />according to their influence; and added together to produce a single, unified raster ranking. The <br />ranking is interpreted as the suitability of each raster to support a specified goal or contain a <br />desired set of conditions. Analyzable variables cover a broad spectrum of spatial data sets <br />including, but not limited to, physical, environmental, cultural, and economic data. <br />For the current project, the analyzed question was where are conditions within the permitted <br />disturbance area most suitable for cultural resources, if present, to be buried and preserved. The <br />results are not a typical cultural resource predictive model designed to determine the location of <br />evidence for human behavior across a given landscape. Instead the results are a specifically <br />tailored analysis designed to meet the needs and requirements of the project. Tetra Tech utilized <br />as a baseline information from previously completed suitability analysis (Malczewski 2003 and <br />Oheim 2007), as well as, previously developed archaeological models similarly designed to our <br />suitability model (Brandt et al. 1992; Duncan and Beckman 2000; and Warren and Asch 2000). <br />5.1.1 Variable Selection and Refinement <br />The archaeological record is not a complete material representation of past human behavior, but <br />a varying set of incomplete snapshots into the past. Archaeological research going as far back as <br />the inception of the field has attempted to define variables that contribute to the preservation <br />and/or removal of buried cultural resources. The identified sources of the variables range from <br />natural to man-made. The extensive body of research has shown that a given variable's role, <br />regardless of origin, in preservation or destruction is often dynamic, time bound, and locality <br />specific. However, general overarching variables can be extrapolated from the research. <br />The selected suitability analysis variables are: Slope, Streams, and Landform (Table 2). The three <br />variables are known to influence human behavior across a landscape and affect the potential for <br />an area to bury and preserve the cultural material. Slope was selected since humans prefer level <br />ground for repeated, intensive use that tends to leave a significant material signature. Humans <br />tended to only venture on to steeper terrain for specific and infrequent tasks that typically leave <br />Tetra Tech July 25, 2018 28 <br />For Officla! Use Only: Disclosure of Site Locations Prohibited (43 CFI? 7 18) <br />