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Subsidence Prediction Based on Measurements <br />AnnPndix A at West Elk Mine <br />Cracks that occur above the mine panel area <br />the surface area of influence (DeGraff and R <br />active subsidence between rocks of differer <br />close once equilibrium conditions occur. Ho <br />7 <br />so tend to close, once mining faces move out of <br />iesburg 1981). Any local bed separations during <br />strengths (Figure A, Enlargement 1) will likely <br />-ver, any cracks present above rigid chain pillars, <br />barrier pillars, or mine boundaries may rem *in open where permanent tensile stresses remain <br />after mining is completed due to the convex curvature of the subsidence profile. <br />During the past ten years of annual observations in the West Elk mining area by the author (from <br />1996 to 2004), particularly the Apache Rooks mining area, no cracks were observed above <br />mined -out longwall panels in colluvium mor than an estimated ten feet thick. No cracks have <br />been observed in alluvium above mined -out longwall panels. <br />No cracks were observed in the alluvium a>ad colluvium of Sylvester Gulch and Deep Creek <br />(estimated thickness range is 25 to 150 feet during periodic field observations in the Apache <br />Rocks and Box Canyon mining areas. The rear- surface alluvial material consisted of primarily <br />sand, silt, clay, and soil in the two areas mentioned, and was located above rigid pillars and panel <br />boundaries where the overburden depth ranges from 800 to 1,050 feet. The alluvium and <br />colluvium in the Dry Fork and Lick Creek m <br />dr ages (estimated thickness range is 25 to 75 feet), <br />on the average, contains more clay than dons the Deep Creek alluvium. Therefore, it is very <br />unlikely that cracks will occur in colluvium 4nd alluvium in the stream valleys of the South of <br />Divide mining area, even considering the shallow overburden. <br />The probable reason for the lack of crackin� in alluvial and colluvial deposits is that the fine <br />sand- to clay -sized material and overlying soil can yield without cracking or bulging as it <br />deforms as a discrete unit or units during thej subsidence process. The alluvium observed by the <br />author during geologic mapping activities als� varies in thickness from about 25 feet to 75 feet in <br />the West Elk mining area — including the South of Divide mining area. This same reasoning also <br />applies to the colluvium in the area. Although subsidence cracks were locally observed in <br />colluvium less than foot to a few feet thick# no cracks were observed in colluvium more than <br />about 10 feet thick. <br />Angle of Draw <br />The draw, or limit, angle (�, from a vertical zeference; Figures A, B) in the Somerset area ranges <br />from about 8 to 21 degrees. The angle of dr4w measured for F -Seam room - and - pillar mining at <br />West Elk Mine, which has overburden rocklithogy similar to the E -Seam, ranged from 11.3 to <br />16.1 degrees and averaged 14.4 degrees. Th4 angle of draw for B -Seam longwall mining at West <br />Elk ranges from about 15 to 17 degrees afteri accounting for F -Seam mining influence. Based on <br />this information, the anticipated draw angle will likely be closer to the 15 to 17 degree range than <br />the upper limit of 20 degrees for longwall mining in the South of Divide mining area. <br />Break Angle <br />The break angle, the angle (B, from a vertic reference; Figures A, B) of a straight line projected <br />from the zone of maximum horizontal tensile strain at the ground surface to the boundary of the <br />831 - 032.690 Wright Water Engineers, Inc. <br />