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SPDSS_Task48-2_AlluvialGroundwaterModelingCalibration
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SPDSS_Task48-2_AlluvialGroundwaterModelingCalibration
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Last modified
4/17/2013 9:26:40 AM
Creation date
8/11/2008 1:11:50 PM
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Decision Support Systems
Title
SPDSS Task 48.2 - Development of Calibration Targets and Criteria - Phase 4
Description
This Technical Memorandum was undertaken under Task 48.2 of Phase 4 of the SPDSS, to develop calibration criteria, including selection of field data (targets) to be used during the model calibration. This TM summarizes the methodology and data that are anticipated to be used in the model calibration process.
Decision Support - Doc Type
Task Memorandum
Date
10/8/2008
DSS Category
Groundwater
DSS
South Platte
Basin
South Platte
Contract/PO #
C153953
Grant Type
Non-Reimbursable
Bill Number
SB01-157, HB02-1152, SB03-110, HB04-1221, SB05-084, HB06-1313, SB07-122
Prepared By
CDM
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Section Descri tion <br />1.0 Model Calibration Overview <br />2.0 Calibration Process <br />3.0 Selection of Calibration Targets <br />3.1 Calibration Time Periods <br />3.2 Groundwater Level Tar ets <br />3.3 Streamflow Targets <br />3.4 Stream Gain/Loss Targets <br />3.5 Other Targets <br />3.6 Development of Target Database <br />4.0 Selection of Calibration Criteria <br />4.1 Target Criteria <br />4.2 Ob ~ective Ftunction <br />4.3 WeialntinQ Factors <br />5.0 Summar and Conclusions <br />6.0 Recommendations <br />1.0 Model Calibration Overview <br />Model calibration is an iterative process where selected sensitive model parameters are adjusted <br />within predetermined ranges until the simulation results match observed data to an acceptable <br />degree (Anderson & Woessner 1992). A calibrated model simulates historical conditions within <br />an acceptable range of tuncertainty, thus representing the effects of past inflows and outflows. <br />Calibration is by its nature non-unique, i.e. many comb>lnations of model parameters may <br />results in a model that fits the field data. If sufficient data exist, calibrated models maybe used <br />to simulate other historical time periods un order to verify that the model is able to adequately <br />represent fine system response for a period that was not used for the calibration. This process is <br />termed model validation. Calibrated models that adequately simulate the validation period are <br />considered to be even more robust lln their ability to reproduce the processes that have occurred <br />historically iIn the area modeled. Models are most commonly used for evaluating future <br />conditions. A calibrated model maybe used to estimate future and past conditions with <br />confidence if the stresses imposed on the model are comparable to those imposed during the <br />calibration and validation period. <br />The field data used for comparison against simulation results are termed calibration targets in <br />this TM. Calibration targets are defined un terms of the type of measurement, its location and <br />date of measurement, and measurement value. The SPDSS alluvial groundwater flow model <br />will be calibrated using the following: <br />• Water levels observed at wells <br />• Stream Flow, Diversions and Gain-Loss <br />• Groundwater Budget, including groundwater evapotranspiration (ET) <br />• Other Non-Numeric Data (e.g. dry cells, flooded cells) <br />The calibration criteria define fine acceptable differences between tlne measured and simulated <br />values for each calibration target. The relative importance of the calibration targets will be <br />P~ SPDSS T~8 2 Final TM 10-08-0t~.doc 2 <br />
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