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<br />. <br /> <br />Preliminary Feasibility Considerations <br /> <br />At this point, project feasibility can only be evaluated at a prelim- <br /> <br /> <br />.inary level, since different water rights are selling for a large variety <br /> <br /> <br />of prices and ail sales are the subject of extensive negotiations. Two <br /> <br /> <br />approaches are considered below--one approaching the question from the <br /> <br /> <br />requirement angle and the other from the general market situation evident <br /> <br /> <br />in the area., <br /> <br />Considering the acquisition of 2400 acre-feet of dry-year yield per <br /> <br /> <br />contra't, the District must consider an average price of $1200 per acre- <br /> <br /> <br />foot as the upper limit of acquisition. This unit cost must be applicable <br /> <br />to the transferrable amount of the dry-year yield of the water rights after <br /> <br /> <br />completion of the transfer proceedings. <br /> <br />Scrutinizing now the market situation existing in the valley, on the <br /> <br /> <br />average level Colorado-Big Thompson water serves generally as a yardstick <br /> <br /> <br />for water-right sales. Considering the not uncommon asking price of $500 <br /> <br /> <br />per acre-foot unit, the price of an acre-foot of delivery is about $715 <br /> <br /> <br />in an average year. If we assume that only the consumptive use part is <br /> <br /> <br />transferrable, the unit price becomes $1100 per acre-foot. <br /> <br />Based upon the above considerations, the project appears to be feasible. <br /> <br /> <br />The expected replacement quantities developed on a dry-year basis will be <br /> <br /> <br />satisfied by the ,,,ater rights to be acquired. There are sufficient safe- <br /> <br /> <br />guards available to take care of extreme conditions caused by extremely high <br /> <br /> <br />evaporation losses or low-runoff years. The most important of these is the <br /> <br /> <br />operation of the conservation pool that will be optimized after execution <br /> <br /> <br />of the contract. An important safety feature is represented by any addi- <br /> <br /> <br />tional operational water in the pool that the District will have and could <br /> <br /> <br />use for meeting the contract requirement, should such become necessary. <br /> <br />In normal years the expected yield of the water rights is likely' <br /> <br /> <br />to be higher than in dry years, and the 1975 water right is likely to yield <br /> <br /> <br />storable water. Xntegrating these waters with the practiced and anticipated <br /> <br /> <br />operations of the District, a high degree of efficiency can be achieved in <br /> <br />using the available water resources. <br /> <br />- 21 - <br /> <br />M. W. lllTTINGER AND ASSOCIATES, INC. <br />