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<br />ports from the basin, and 1 percent t'?,.,;
<br />municipal and industrial use.J The re-
<br />moval of 9,900 tons of salt from the river
<br />in the Upper Basin was believed to result
<br />in a 1.mg-per-liter decrease in salinity at
<br />Imperial Dam, (Since our research began,
<br />the Bureau of Reclamation has changed
<br />this assumption to 10,990 tons per milli-
<br />gram per liter, thereby further lowering
<br />the potential henefits of removing a given
<br />amount of salt.) However, substantial
<br />quantities of salt may precipitate naturally
<br />out of the water in Lake Powell, and other
<br />measures of the sources of salts may be
<br />problematical.
<br />
<br />Research on salinity control
<br />
<br />The changing view of the severity of the'
<br />problem and the previously unconsidered
<br />lags between controlling salinity and the
<br />realization of benefits raise th~ ques.tion
<br />of whether federal investments in salinity-
<br />control programs are economically effi-
<br />cient. Furthermore. how might program
<br />costs be shared among participants? And
<br />does the method of assessing its costs af-
<br />fect a project's efficiency?
<br />We first approached these questions
<br />empirically by estimating the agricultural
<br />benefits of salinity control through com.
<br />parisons of net fann income at different
<br />salinity levels. Linear programs simulated
<br />fanners' effons to maximize profits in the
<br />Imperial Valley of California with salinity
<br />levels of 800 mg per liter and 1,100 mg
<br />per liter in irrigation water_As salinity
<br />increases. it becomes necessary to under-
<br />take additional irrigations to leach salts
<br />or to switch to more salt-tolerant, but less-
<br />profitable crops, even though these meas-
<br />ures reduce farm net income. Benefits to
<br />municipal water users were adapted from
<br />previous federal studies, and the estimate
<br />of total benefits per ton of salt removed
<br />was compared to cost estimates from the
<br />Bureau of Reclamation and the Soil Con.
<br />servation Service.
<br />Another model simulated irrigated ag-
<br />riculture in a major area of salt loading
<br />in the Upper Basin-the Grand Valley of
<br />Colorado-where irrigation return flows
<br />pass through highly saline soils before
<br />reentering the river. We tested a variety
<br />of economic incentives for their ability to
<br />induce salinity control-management tech..
<br />niques and irrigation technologies.
<br />The salient points of the analysis are
<br />summarized below. The questions of ef.
<br />
<br />JU.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Th~
<br />Mineral Wafer Qualiry Problem in ,hI! Colorado
<br />Rivtr Basin (San Fra.ncisco. California. 197t).
<br />
<br />~
<br />
<br />ficiency and equity are addressed In turn.
<br />together with polley implications,
<br />
<br />Benefits versus costs
<br />
<br />Average annual damages from salinity to
<br />irrigated agriculture in [he Lower Basin
<br />amount to S51,4oo per milligram per liter
<br />in 1982 dollars, As noted. however, sa-
<br />linity reduction does not occur instanta.
<br />neously, so the damage figure must he
<br />discounted by tbe hydraulic retention time
<br />of the river to obtain the present value of
<br />henefits of Upper Basin salinity control.
<br />We estimate benefits to agriculture from
<br />salinity control (using an 8 percent dis-
<br />count rate) at S39,100 per milligram per
<br />liter,
<br />We adapted a previous study to esti-
<br />mate discounted municipal salinity-con-
<br />trol benefits of S218,700 per milligram per'
<br />Iiter.4 We did not include environmental..
<br />health, and aesthetic benefits in this anal-.
<br />ysis, but most observers do not see them.
<br />as significant in the current salinity range:
<br />We also omitted secondary, or indirect.
<br />economic benefits as they normally are
<br />not included in project analysis from a .
<br />national accounting perspective. Under
<br />nonnal economic conditionS"; these re-
<br />gional impacts are offset by losses or gains
<br />elsewhere in the economy.
<br />We thus estimate the total benefits of
<br />salinity control to be $257,800 per milli-
<br />gram per liter of salinity at Imperial Dam,
<br />or S26 per ton of salt removed from the
<br />upper stretch of the Colorado River, The
<br />Bureau of Reclamation's total estimate of
<br />S513,300 is almost double because it in-
<br />cludes secondary benefits and fails to aI,
<br />low for the river's time lag.
<br />This benefit estimate. can be compared
<br />with projected salinity-control costs of ex. .
<br />isting and' future projects. Cost estimates
<br />were available for nine Soil Conservation
<br />Service (SCS) on-farm projects that de-
<br />crease salt loading mostly by reducing deep
<br />percolation of irrigation water on Upper
<br />Basin fields, although they also include
<br />some lining of irrigation canals. Benefits
<br />exceed costs for only three of the nine
<br />SCS projects-the Virgin Valley, Price-
<br />San Rafael, and Upper Virgin Valley units,
<br />Similarly, of ten Bureau of Reclama-
<br />tion projects. only the Paradox Valley and
<br />Las Vegas Wash units are economically
<br />feasible. Benefit-cost ratios for the other
<br />eight projects generally are lower than the
<br />SCS on-farm projects. This is because the
<br />bureau's projects emphasize capital-in-
<br />tensive solutions. while substantial salt-
<br />
<br />~Klc:inman. Alan P.. and F. Bruce Brown,
<br />Colorado River Salinity: Economic Impacts on
<br />Agricultural. Municipal. and lndwrrial Users
<br />(Denver. Colorado River Water Quality Of-
<br />fice. Bureau of Redamation. December 1980).
<br />
<br />..:_..... 1'--
<br />
<br />~2.:';Jad reductions can be obtained throu~h
<br />relatively inexpensive changes in irriga.
<br />tion-management techniques.
<br />
<br />Cost-sharing mechanisms
<br />
<br />The Soil Conservation Service subsidizes
<br />the capital cost of improvements to the
<br />irrigation system to achieve salt reduc.
<br />tions; How farmers are required to pay
<br />their share of costs affects the cost per tOn
<br />of salt removed through on-fann pro-
<br />grams, We analyze" the effect of a wide
<br />variety of cost-sharing mechanisms in the
<br />Grand Valley of Colorado, with the net
<br />social cost per ton of salt removed as a
<br />common measuring stick. These social
<br />costs are net of the value of irrigation la-
<br />bor saved and do not include the cost of
<br />administering the program.
<br />We found the economic efficiency of
<br />cost-sharing mechanisms to vary with the
<br />degree to which an economic incentive is
<br />directed toward salt discharges. As econ.
<br />omists would predict. an effluent tax on
<br />the salt discharged by each farm achieves
<br />salinity control at the lowest social'"cost.
<br />Unfortunately, it is not practical to meas-
<br />ure the amount of salt or any other non-
<br />point-source pollutant coming from every
<br />irrigated field. Average discharges could
<br />be estimated given soil type, crops, and
<br />irrigation techniques, but even this ap-
<br />proach is an administrative nightmare.
<br />A more feasible alternative is to tax
<br />production inputs whose use correlates di.
<br />rectly with the level of pollution. For sa-
<br />, tinity, the influent tax should be placed on
<br />irrigation water. This cost-sharing mech-
<br />anism is not as efficient as an effluent tax-
<br />the relationship between. reduced water
<br />use and lower salt loads is not exact-but
<br />a tax on water would be much easier to
<br />administer because charges for wat~r. al-
<br />ready are assessed. In addition, subsidies
<br />for conserving water will have essentially
<br />the same effect on salinity control as taxes
<br />on wateL consumption.
<br />Subsidizing irrigation system improve.
<br />menlS .moves the cost-sharing mechanism
<br />one step farther from the goal of reduced
<br />salt loads. Capital.inrensive investments
<br />in water-conserving technologies are en.
<br />couraged, hut this type of subsidy ignores
<br />irrigation management options. This re.
<br />suits in an increased social cost per ton of
<br />salt removed. Property faxes are the least
<br />efficient cost-sharing mechanism of all.
<br />Raising property taxes creates no incen-
<br />tive to change salt loads. but it could raise
<br />revenues for the local cost share.
<br />
<br />I
<br />
<br />Who pays?
<br />
<br />In assessing the worth of a project Or pro~
<br />gram. economists tend to focus almost ex-
<br />clusively on the investment's efficiency.
<br />but [he equity question-how costs and
<br />benefits are distributed-is equally 1m.
<br />
<br />SPRING 1985 j 11
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