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<br />C,.1 <br />o <br />OQ <br />f\:, <br /> <br />. "'"''l <br />ports from the basin, and 1 percent t'?,.,; <br />municipal and industrial use.J The re- <br />moval of 9,900 tons of salt from the river <br />in the Upper Basin was believed to result <br />in a 1.mg-per-liter decrease in salinity at <br />Imperial Dam, (Since our research began, <br />the Bureau of Reclamation has changed <br />this assumption to 10,990 tons per milli- <br />gram per liter, thereby further lowering <br />the potential henefits of removing a given <br />amount of salt.) However, substantial <br />quantities of salt may precipitate naturally <br />out of the water in Lake Powell, and other <br />measures of the sources of salts may be <br />problematical. <br /> <br />Research on salinity control <br /> <br />The changing view of the severity of the' <br />problem and the previously unconsidered <br />lags between controlling salinity and the <br />realization of benefits raise th~ ques.tion <br />of whether federal investments in salinity- <br />control programs are economically effi- <br />cient. Furthermore. how might program <br />costs be shared among participants? And <br />does the method of assessing its costs af- <br />fect a project's efficiency? <br />We first approached these questions <br />empirically by estimating the agricultural <br />benefits of salinity control through com. <br />parisons of net fann income at different <br />salinity levels. Linear programs simulated <br />fanners' effons to maximize profits in the <br />Imperial Valley of California with salinity <br />levels of 800 mg per liter and 1,100 mg <br />per liter in irrigation water_As salinity <br />increases. it becomes necessary to under- <br />take additional irrigations to leach salts <br />or to switch to more salt-tolerant, but less- <br />profitable crops, even though these meas- <br />ures reduce farm net income. Benefits to <br />municipal water users were adapted from <br />previous federal studies, and the estimate <br />of total benefits per ton of salt removed <br />was compared to cost estimates from the <br />Bureau of Reclamation and the Soil Con. <br />servation Service. <br />Another model simulated irrigated ag- <br />riculture in a major area of salt loading <br />in the Upper Basin-the Grand Valley of <br />Colorado-where irrigation return flows <br />pass through highly saline soils before <br />reentering the river. We tested a variety <br />of economic incentives for their ability to <br />induce salinity control-management tech.. <br />niques and irrigation technologies. <br />The salient points of the analysis are <br />summarized below. The questions of ef. <br /> <br />JU.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Th~ <br />Mineral Wafer Qualiry Problem in ,hI! Colorado <br />Rivtr Basin (San Fra.ncisco. California. 197t). <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />ficiency and equity are addressed In turn. <br />together with polley implications, <br /> <br />Benefits versus costs <br /> <br />Average annual damages from salinity to <br />irrigated agriculture in [he Lower Basin <br />amount to S51,4oo per milligram per liter <br />in 1982 dollars, As noted. however, sa- <br />linity reduction does not occur instanta. <br />neously, so the damage figure must he <br />discounted by tbe hydraulic retention time <br />of the river to obtain the present value of <br />henefits of Upper Basin salinity control. <br />We estimate benefits to agriculture from <br />salinity control (using an 8 percent dis- <br />count rate) at S39,100 per milligram per <br />liter, <br />We adapted a previous study to esti- <br />mate discounted municipal salinity-con- <br />trol benefits of S218,700 per milligram per' <br />Iiter.4 We did not include environmental.. <br />health, and aesthetic benefits in this anal-. <br />ysis, but most observers do not see them. <br />as significant in the current salinity range: <br />We also omitted secondary, or indirect. <br />economic benefits as they normally are <br />not included in project analysis from a . <br />national accounting perspective. Under <br />nonnal economic conditionS"; these re- <br />gional impacts are offset by losses or gains <br />elsewhere in the economy. <br />We thus estimate the total benefits of <br />salinity control to be $257,800 per milli- <br />gram per liter of salinity at Imperial Dam, <br />or S26 per ton of salt removed from the <br />upper stretch of the Colorado River, The <br />Bureau of Reclamation's total estimate of <br />S513,300 is almost double because it in- <br />cludes secondary benefits and fails to aI, <br />low for the river's time lag. <br />This benefit estimate. can be compared <br />with projected salinity-control costs of ex. . <br />isting and' future projects. Cost estimates <br />were available for nine Soil Conservation <br />Service (SCS) on-farm projects that de- <br />crease salt loading mostly by reducing deep <br />percolation of irrigation water on Upper <br />Basin fields, although they also include <br />some lining of irrigation canals. Benefits <br />exceed costs for only three of the nine <br />SCS projects-the Virgin Valley, Price- <br />San Rafael, and Upper Virgin Valley units, <br />Similarly, of ten Bureau of Reclama- <br />tion projects. only the Paradox Valley and <br />Las Vegas Wash units are economically <br />feasible. Benefit-cost ratios for the other <br />eight projects generally are lower than the <br />SCS on-farm projects. This is because the <br />bureau's projects emphasize capital-in- <br />tensive solutions. while substantial salt- <br /> <br />~Klc:inman. Alan P.. and F. Bruce Brown, <br />Colorado River Salinity: Economic Impacts on <br />Agricultural. Municipal. and lndwrrial Users <br />(Denver. Colorado River Water Quality Of- <br />fice. Bureau of Redamation. December 1980). <br /> <br />..:_..... 1'-- <br /> <br />~2.:';Jad reductions can be obtained throu~h <br />relatively inexpensive changes in irriga. <br />tion-management techniques. <br /> <br />Cost-sharing mechanisms <br /> <br />The Soil Conservation Service subsidizes <br />the capital cost of improvements to the <br />irrigation system to achieve salt reduc. <br />tions; How farmers are required to pay <br />their share of costs affects the cost per tOn <br />of salt removed through on-fann pro- <br />grams, We analyze" the effect of a wide <br />variety of cost-sharing mechanisms in the <br />Grand Valley of Colorado, with the net <br />social cost per ton of salt removed as a <br />common measuring stick. These social <br />costs are net of the value of irrigation la- <br />bor saved and do not include the cost of <br />administering the program. <br />We found the economic efficiency of <br />cost-sharing mechanisms to vary with the <br />degree to which an economic incentive is <br />directed toward salt discharges. As econ. <br />omists would predict. an effluent tax on <br />the salt discharged by each farm achieves <br />salinity control at the lowest social'"cost. <br />Unfortunately, it is not practical to meas- <br />ure the amount of salt or any other non- <br />point-source pollutant coming from every <br />irrigated field. Average discharges could <br />be estimated given soil type, crops, and <br />irrigation techniques, but even this ap- <br />proach is an administrative nightmare. <br />A more feasible alternative is to tax <br />production inputs whose use correlates di. <br />rectly with the level of pollution. For sa- <br />, tinity, the influent tax should be placed on <br />irrigation water. This cost-sharing mech- <br />anism is not as efficient as an effluent tax- <br />the relationship between. reduced water <br />use and lower salt loads is not exact-but <br />a tax on water would be much easier to <br />administer because charges for wat~r. al- <br />ready are assessed. In addition, subsidies <br />for conserving water will have essentially <br />the same effect on salinity control as taxes <br />on wateL consumption. <br />Subsidizing irrigation system improve. <br />menlS .moves the cost-sharing mechanism <br />one step farther from the goal of reduced <br />salt loads. Capital.inrensive investments <br />in water-conserving technologies are en. <br />couraged, hut this type of subsidy ignores <br />irrigation management options. This re. <br />suits in an increased social cost per ton of <br />salt removed. Property faxes are the least <br />efficient cost-sharing mechanism of all. <br />Raising property taxes creates no incen- <br />tive to change salt loads. but it could raise <br />revenues for the local cost share. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Who pays? <br /> <br />In assessing the worth of a project Or pro~ <br />gram. economists tend to focus almost ex- <br />clusively on the investment's efficiency. <br />but [he equity question-how costs and <br />benefits are distributed-is equally 1m. <br /> <br />SPRING 1985 j 11 <br />