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<br /> <br />13382 . Federal Register I Vol. 59, No, 54 I Monday, March 21, 1994 I Rules and Re~,'ulations <br /> <br />. Congress believed that the "worth" or <br />value of a species is incalculable and <br />invaluable. 'This is supported by the <br />Supreme Court interpretation of the Act <br />in TVA v, Hil1.437 U.s, 153,178 (1978). <br />This concept is applicable to the Basin <br />as it represents one of the most <br />distinctive collections of flora and fauna <br />in North America. <br />The economic analysis and data used <br />duting the exclusion process addressed <br />impacts to: river basin or sub-basin by <br />State, each State as a whole, the region, <br />and the Nation. Direct and indirect <br />impacts on.employment, wages, and <br />State and Federal revenues from . <br />business and personal income taxes also <br />were considered during the exclusion <br />process, . ..' <br /> <br />Threshold ofS;gmficant Economic <br />Impact . . " . <br />To establish the threshold for <br />significant economic impact, impacts <br />were evaluated in the context of the <br />nonnal fluctuations of the economy <br />(Brookshire,et al..1994). Over the period <br />1959-1991. the growth rate of the . <br />national economy (measured'as . <br />percentage-change in Gross Domestic <br />Product) varied from - 2.2 percent to <br />6.2'percenl.'.The'mean growth rate was <br />2;85 percent.{with a standard deviation <br />(SD) of 2.26 percent), Over.the same <br />period, tJui:average unemployment rate <br />was 5.95 perilsnt (SI>=1.52 percent), ' <br />Impacts thatlie:mthin this range are <br />. within thelimmal fluctuations of the <br />economy.andlll8 able to be absorbed by <br />the economy. A 'conservative threshold <br />forsill"i!;""~impactswould be a 1" <br />percent SD from the projected baseline. <br />If changes in'employment or output due' <br />to critical habitat at a State level exceed <br />this threshold, then that area of critical <br />habitat should be considered for <br />economic exclusion. <br />Various flow and nonflow impacts <br />were evaluated in the economic analysis <br />(Brookshire at aL1993. 1994), Impacts <br />associated with providing flows for <br />fishes. including reoparation of <br />mainstream dams. constituted the <br />greatest mcmetary impacts, Flows in one <br />reach may.be dependent on the flows <br />from reaches upstream. Therefore, e_ven <br />though a reach may be excluded fot <br />economic reasons, those economic <br />impacts may not disappear due to <br />downstream flow requirements of the <br />fish. Thus,.the sma1lest unit examined <br />for economic impact was an individual <br />river exceptforthe mainstem Colorado <br />River, wbich was by river reach, <br />Many of the critiCal habitat reaches <br />were designated for more than one of <br />the endaDgered.fishes. Therefore, some <br />reaches were needed for the eventual <br />recovery of one species, and also needed <br /> <br />to prevent extinction of another. The <br />dual nature of many of the designated <br />reaches and other issues made the <br />exclusion process. complex. <br /> <br />Conservation and Extinction as Factors <br />in Designating Critical Habitat <br /> <br />The Act defines "conservation" to <br />include the use of all means necessary <br />to bring about the recovery of an <br />endangered or threatened species. <br />Section 7(a)(2) prohibitions against the <br />destruction or adverse modification of <br />critical habitat apply to actions that <br />would impair survival and recovery of <br />a listed species. As Ii result of the link <br />between critical habitat and recovery. <br />these prohibitions should protect the <br />value of critical habitat until recovery. <br />SurVival and recovery, mentioned in the <br />. definitions of adverse modification and <br />jeopardy. are conceptually related, The <br />survival of a species may be viewed. in <br />part, as a progression between . <br />extinction and recovery of the species. <br />The closer a species is to recovery, the <br />greater the certainty of its continued <br />survival. Theterms,usurvival" and.. <br />"recovery" differ by the degree of <br />confidence about the ability .of a species <br />to pemst in nature over s given period. <br />Critical habitat consists of areas that <br />contain elements that are esSential to <br />the conservation of a listed species. <br />, Critical habitat identifies areas that. <br />should be considered in the <br />conservation'effort and provides <br />additional protection to those areas <br />through section 7 consultation. Critical <br />habitat is designated to contribute to a <br />species' conservation; however, not all <br />areas proposed as critical habitat may be <br />necessary to prevent extinction. <br />Consequently, some areas or portions of <br />ereas may be excluded due to economic <br />considerations, provided that such <br />exclusions would not result in the <br />extinction of the species. <br />In its designation of critical habitatior <br />the four Colorado River fishes, the <br />Service has identified habitat required <br />for recovery of esch speCies and <br />delineated reaches that contain habitat <br />features needed for.spawning, rearing. <br />feeding, and migration. Species <br />conservation is related to s number of <br />factors. such as the number of <br />individualS, the amount of habitat, the <br />condition of the species and its habitat, <br />the species' reproductive biology, and <br />the genetic composition of the <br />rem.ining populations. Through its <br />previous efforts (e.g.. section 7 <br />consultation, research), the Service also <br />has identified biologically important <br />ereas that still support.these endangered <br />fish. Additiona1ly, important reaches <br />have been identified in recovery plans <br />for the Colorado squawfish, humpback <br /> <br />chub, and bonytail chub, The Recovery <br />Implementation Programs in the Upper <br />Colorado River and San Juan River <br />Basins have also identified essential <br />reaches for these species, Although all <br />ereas proposed are important to <br />conservation, those areas currently <br />supporting the largest remaining <br />populations may be key to the long.term <br />survival of these species, Additionally, <br />the physical and eCological <br />relationships between these ereas ere an <br />important consideration. <br />Extinction of the four Colorado River <br />fishes would most likely occur as a <br />result of the presence and continued <br />introductions of nonnative fishes. <br />significant changes in the .hydrologic <br />cycle. increased fragmentation and <br />channelization of their habitat, and <br />decreased water quality. Although a <br />single action could result in extinction, <br />the cumulative reduction in suitable <br />habitat resulting from many actions also <br />could lead to species extinction, <br />Because these species are long-lived, the <br />specific effects of some impacts are <br />difficult to establish:''I'berefore; the <br />exclusion analysiS' focuses not only on ' <br />specific rivers and/or reaches, but also <br />on their relationship to othei'reaches in <br />evaluating whether or not extinction <br />would be proba'blelf ared Wiire' <br />excluded. Such factors as: (t) Current <br />population status, (2) habitat quality . <br />(e.g., presence Ilf l!Pllwning site<;"" . <br />nursery areas. and condition of the . <br />habitat), (3) geographical distribution of <br />the populations, (4) genetic v~bility <br />within the population, and (5) the <br />relationship between critical habitat <br />units were considered.... ". <br />In order to detertnine'river reaches <br />required to prevent extinction (ensure <br />survival) of these fishes. the Service <br />relied upon available biological . <br />information and approved recovery <br />plans. Information relating to the <br />species' biological and ecological needs, <br />such as habitat, reproduction, rearing, <br />and genetic<;, was used in determining <br />if an erea was needed to prevent <br />extinction of the species. Where enough <br />information was available, specific <br />recovery plans presented downlisting <br />and delisting criteria; Downlisting <br />criteria were generally equated to the <br />survival level; delisting criteria were <br />related to the recovery level. Because no <br />recovery plan has been prepared for the <br />razorback sucker, reaches required for <br />its survival (downlisting) and recovery <br />(delisting) may change as a recovery <br />plan is developed by the Service and the <br />Colorado River Fishes Recovery Team. <br /> <br />Exclusion' <br /> <br />After considering the economic and <br />other factors that may be pertinent to <br />