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<br />13382 . Federal Register I Vol. 59, No, 54 I Monday, March 21, 1994 I Rules and Re~,'ulations
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<br />. Congress believed that the "worth" or
<br />value of a species is incalculable and
<br />invaluable. 'This is supported by the
<br />Supreme Court interpretation of the Act
<br />in TVA v, Hil1.437 U.s, 153,178 (1978).
<br />This concept is applicable to the Basin
<br />as it represents one of the most
<br />distinctive collections of flora and fauna
<br />in North America.
<br />The economic analysis and data used
<br />duting the exclusion process addressed
<br />impacts to: river basin or sub-basin by
<br />State, each State as a whole, the region,
<br />and the Nation. Direct and indirect
<br />impacts on.employment, wages, and
<br />State and Federal revenues from .
<br />business and personal income taxes also
<br />were considered during the exclusion
<br />process, . ..'
<br />
<br />Threshold ofS;gmficant Economic
<br />Impact . . " .
<br />To establish the threshold for
<br />significant economic impact, impacts
<br />were evaluated in the context of the
<br />nonnal fluctuations of the economy
<br />(Brookshire,et al..1994). Over the period
<br />1959-1991. the growth rate of the .
<br />national economy (measured'as .
<br />percentage-change in Gross Domestic
<br />Product) varied from - 2.2 percent to
<br />6.2'percenl.'.The'mean growth rate was
<br />2;85 percent.{with a standard deviation
<br />(SD) of 2.26 percent), Over.the same
<br />period, tJui:average unemployment rate
<br />was 5.95 perilsnt (SI>=1.52 percent), '
<br />Impacts thatlie:mthin this range are
<br />. within thelimmal fluctuations of the
<br />economy.andlll8 able to be absorbed by
<br />the economy. A 'conservative threshold
<br />forsill"i!;""~impactswould be a 1"
<br />percent SD from the projected baseline.
<br />If changes in'employment or output due'
<br />to critical habitat at a State level exceed
<br />this threshold, then that area of critical
<br />habitat should be considered for
<br />economic exclusion.
<br />Various flow and nonflow impacts
<br />were evaluated in the economic analysis
<br />(Brookshire at aL1993. 1994), Impacts
<br />associated with providing flows for
<br />fishes. including reoparation of
<br />mainstream dams. constituted the
<br />greatest mcmetary impacts, Flows in one
<br />reach may.be dependent on the flows
<br />from reaches upstream. Therefore, e_ven
<br />though a reach may be excluded fot
<br />economic reasons, those economic
<br />impacts may not disappear due to
<br />downstream flow requirements of the
<br />fish. Thus,.the sma1lest unit examined
<br />for economic impact was an individual
<br />river exceptforthe mainstem Colorado
<br />River, wbich was by river reach,
<br />Many of the critiCal habitat reaches
<br />were designated for more than one of
<br />the endaDgered.fishes. Therefore, some
<br />reaches were needed for the eventual
<br />recovery of one species, and also needed
<br />
<br />to prevent extinction of another. The
<br />dual nature of many of the designated
<br />reaches and other issues made the
<br />exclusion process. complex.
<br />
<br />Conservation and Extinction as Factors
<br />in Designating Critical Habitat
<br />
<br />The Act defines "conservation" to
<br />include the use of all means necessary
<br />to bring about the recovery of an
<br />endangered or threatened species.
<br />Section 7(a)(2) prohibitions against the
<br />destruction or adverse modification of
<br />critical habitat apply to actions that
<br />would impair survival and recovery of
<br />a listed species. As Ii result of the link
<br />between critical habitat and recovery.
<br />these prohibitions should protect the
<br />value of critical habitat until recovery.
<br />SurVival and recovery, mentioned in the
<br />. definitions of adverse modification and
<br />jeopardy. are conceptually related, The
<br />survival of a species may be viewed. in
<br />part, as a progression between .
<br />extinction and recovery of the species.
<br />The closer a species is to recovery, the
<br />greater the certainty of its continued
<br />survival. Theterms,usurvival" and..
<br />"recovery" differ by the degree of
<br />confidence about the ability .of a species
<br />to pemst in nature over s given period.
<br />Critical habitat consists of areas that
<br />contain elements that are esSential to
<br />the conservation of a listed species.
<br />, Critical habitat identifies areas that.
<br />should be considered in the
<br />conservation'effort and provides
<br />additional protection to those areas
<br />through section 7 consultation. Critical
<br />habitat is designated to contribute to a
<br />species' conservation; however, not all
<br />areas proposed as critical habitat may be
<br />necessary to prevent extinction.
<br />Consequently, some areas or portions of
<br />ereas may be excluded due to economic
<br />considerations, provided that such
<br />exclusions would not result in the
<br />extinction of the species.
<br />In its designation of critical habitatior
<br />the four Colorado River fishes, the
<br />Service has identified habitat required
<br />for recovery of esch speCies and
<br />delineated reaches that contain habitat
<br />features needed for.spawning, rearing.
<br />feeding, and migration. Species
<br />conservation is related to s number of
<br />factors. such as the number of
<br />individualS, the amount of habitat, the
<br />condition of the species and its habitat,
<br />the species' reproductive biology, and
<br />the genetic composition of the
<br />rem.ining populations. Through its
<br />previous efforts (e.g.. section 7
<br />consultation, research), the Service also
<br />has identified biologically important
<br />ereas that still support.these endangered
<br />fish. Additiona1ly, important reaches
<br />have been identified in recovery plans
<br />for the Colorado squawfish, humpback
<br />
<br />chub, and bonytail chub, The Recovery
<br />Implementation Programs in the Upper
<br />Colorado River and San Juan River
<br />Basins have also identified essential
<br />reaches for these species, Although all
<br />ereas proposed are important to
<br />conservation, those areas currently
<br />supporting the largest remaining
<br />populations may be key to the long.term
<br />survival of these species, Additionally,
<br />the physical and eCological
<br />relationships between these ereas ere an
<br />important consideration.
<br />Extinction of the four Colorado River
<br />fishes would most likely occur as a
<br />result of the presence and continued
<br />introductions of nonnative fishes.
<br />significant changes in the .hydrologic
<br />cycle. increased fragmentation and
<br />channelization of their habitat, and
<br />decreased water quality. Although a
<br />single action could result in extinction,
<br />the cumulative reduction in suitable
<br />habitat resulting from many actions also
<br />could lead to species extinction,
<br />Because these species are long-lived, the
<br />specific effects of some impacts are
<br />difficult to establish:''I'berefore; the
<br />exclusion analysiS' focuses not only on '
<br />specific rivers and/or reaches, but also
<br />on their relationship to othei'reaches in
<br />evaluating whether or not extinction
<br />would be proba'blelf ared Wiire'
<br />excluded. Such factors as: (t) Current
<br />population status, (2) habitat quality .
<br />(e.g., presence Ilf l!Pllwning site<;"" .
<br />nursery areas. and condition of the .
<br />habitat), (3) geographical distribution of
<br />the populations, (4) genetic v~bility
<br />within the population, and (5) the
<br />relationship between critical habitat
<br />units were considered.... ".
<br />In order to detertnine'river reaches
<br />required to prevent extinction (ensure
<br />survival) of these fishes. the Service
<br />relied upon available biological .
<br />information and approved recovery
<br />plans. Information relating to the
<br />species' biological and ecological needs,
<br />such as habitat, reproduction, rearing,
<br />and genetic<;, was used in determining
<br />if an erea was needed to prevent
<br />extinction of the species. Where enough
<br />information was available, specific
<br />recovery plans presented downlisting
<br />and delisting criteria; Downlisting
<br />criteria were generally equated to the
<br />survival level; delisting criteria were
<br />related to the recovery level. Because no
<br />recovery plan has been prepared for the
<br />razorback sucker, reaches required for
<br />its survival (downlisting) and recovery
<br />(delisting) may change as a recovery
<br />plan is developed by the Service and the
<br />Colorado River Fishes Recovery Team.
<br />
<br />Exclusion'
<br />
<br />After considering the economic and
<br />other factors that may be pertinent to
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