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<br />1 <br />I ""\ <br />I~' . <br />,,- <br />, c.... <br />I.' <br />I ~ <br /> <br />acres of 1 to 3% slope exist within Mesa County, excluding <br />concentrated agricultural areas, Several sites appear attractive <br />near Palisade, Colorado, although they require further investigation. <br /> <br />Commercial Value <br /> <br />The value <br />that can <br />from the <br />resources <br /> <br />of <br />be <br />s.ale <br />made <br /> <br />the STEP process to investors is based upon cash flows <br />expected from operating a pollution control facility, <br />of product, and from a share in the lease rights to the <br />abailable to other businesses because of the process. <br /> <br />Future cash inflows from the production and sale of STEP crops were <br />forecast utilizing a Monte Carlo approach, discounting the unit value <br />of STEP crops by 25% below the historical average price of Alfalfa <br />hay in Colorado. The most probable result of the simulated revenue <br />analysis was that 1,276 acres of STEP production pond area would be <br />utilized to yield 10,208 tons of feed-grade hay at a price of <br />$53.66(ton for annual gross revenues of $547,930. According to 1985 <br />Colorado Agricultural Statistics, 2,387,000 tons of Alfalfa hay were <br />produced in the State in 1984; 19.4% of that was produced in the <br />Southwest District of the State that includes Mesa and Garfield <br />counties, The STEP production ponds would thus need to capture about <br />2.2% of the Southwest Colorado market. <br /> <br />The most probable result of the simulated earnings-before-tax <br />analysis was that about $160,000 would be earned from the first year <br />crop and $174,500 from subsequent crops, the difference caused by <br />decreased costs in planting in the out-years. <br /> <br />In addition, the contract for operating the facility for the public <br />should yield around $106,000 per year. Carbon dioxide and space <br /> <br />TABLE 3: EFFECT OF STEP PROCESS PERFORMANCE ON COST <br />EFFECTIVENESS (1985 $ PER TON OF SALT REMOVED) <br /> <br />Performance Variable <br /> <br />Best Case <br /> <br />Reference Case <br /> <br />Worst Case <br /> <br />Evapotranspiration <br />Rate (in/day) <br /> <br />0.52* <br /> <br />0.258 0.18 <br />55.31 57.53 <br />42,91 45,13 <br />40,000 80,000 <br />55.31 55.65 <br />42.91 43,25 <br />180 126 <br />55.31 56.54 <br />42.91 44.14 <br /> <br />Mack Site, ($ per ton) <br />Palisade Site, ($ per ton) <br /> <br />51.93 <br />39.53 <br /> <br />Salinity, (mg/l TDS) <br /> <br />28,000 <br /> <br />Mack Site, ($ per ton) <br />Palisade Site, ($ per ton) <br /> <br />55.02 <br />42.62 <br /> <br />Growth Season, days/year <br /> <br />360 <br /> <br />Mack Site, ($ per ton) <br />Palisade Site, ($ per ton) <br /> <br />52.84 <br />40.44 <br /> <br />* Reported as high as 1.5 in/day <br /> <br />E-9 <br />