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<br />..... <br />(X) <br />U1 <br />~ <br /> <br />(Continued from page 1.) <br /> <br />tons of salt annually from the river <br />system. Projections of future <br />salinity conditions used the <br />average of 15 sequences of histori- <br />cal hydrology (1906-1983) as a <br />data base and current (1987) <br />depletion projections developed <br />jointly by Reclamation and the <br />Forum, <br />The salinity at Imperial Dam is <br />projected to reach about 960 mg/L <br />by the year 2010, Figure 1 <br />provides an historical perspective <br />in addition to the numeric stand- <br />ard and the projections at Imperial <br />Dam. It is readily apparent that <br />without the recommended con- <br />trols, the salinity at Imperial Dam <br />Is expected to increase signifi- <br />cantly over the next eight years <br />due in part to expected normal <br />hydrologic conditions, Using the <br />salinity projections at Imperial <br />Dam, salt load reductions required <br />to reduce projected TDS (total dis- <br />solved solids) levels to the <br />numeric criteria of p 879 mg/L are <br />estimated to be about 1 million <br />tons per year by the year 2010 <br />and is referred to as the program <br />objective. Figure 1 also shows <br />how the implementation plan <br />meets the numeric criteria, <br /> <br />MAJOR FINDINGS <br /> <br />The recommended plan is <br />expected to fully satisfy salt load <br />reduction objectives and program <br />goals, maintaining salinity levels at <br />Imperial Dam at or below 879 <br />mg/L. The recommended plan's <br />implementation schedule is shown <br />on table 1. <br />This analysis is based on cur- <br />rent data (January 1987), Annual <br />review Is required to update <br />project data. check progress <br />against program objectives, and <br /> <br />Salinity Projections at Imperial Dam <br />with and without further controls <br /> <br />S <br />a <br />I <br />i <br />n <br />i <br />t <br />Y <br /> <br />1000 <br />950 <br />900 <br />850 <br />800 <br />750 <br /> <br />Standard <br /> <br />Projections -- <br /> <br />i: <br />j :" <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 700 <br />m . . <br />650 -\ ' <br />g 600 <br />/ <br />L 550 <br /> 1941 50 60 <br />* Provisional thru November <br /> <br />\ \ <br />.\ \ .' ;' <br /> <br />\ .~ , * <br /> <br />70 80 <br />Years <br /> <br />90 <br /> <br />2010 <br /> <br />00 <br /> <br />Fig 1, Salinity projections with & without further controls <br /> <br />validate that investment level <br />assumptions of approximately <br />$560 million will satisfy program <br />objectives. As evidenced by past <br />pro- gram activities, long lead <br />times are required for project plan- <br />ning and implementation, and con- <br />struction costs will continue to <br />increase, To minimize program <br />costs and to avoid increased infla- <br />tion expenses, program planning, <br />implementation schedules, and <br />funding levels should be consis- <br />tent with the recommended plan. <br />Although high flows for the past <br />few years have temporarily <br />lowered salinity levels in the sys- <br />tem, construction should not be <br />delayed. Any delay would impact <br />program continuity and increase <br />overall program costs, <br /> <br />. The recommended plan will <br />fully satisfy the remaining salt <br />load reduction objective of <br />removing about 1 million <br />tons per year by 2010 and <br />the program goal of <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />maintaining salinity at or <br />below 879 mg/L at Imperial <br />Dam. <br /> <br />. Total remaining construction <br />cost for the program is now <br />projected to be about $560 <br />million. <br /> <br />. In order to meet the program <br />objectives and goals beyond <br />the next decade, to minimize <br />Lower Basin interest costs, <br />and to maintain program con- <br />tinuity, construction of <br />several new projects as <br />specified in the implementa- <br />tion plan needs to be <br />initiated in the next 4 years. <br />The $560 million investment <br />level appears to best satisfy <br />the remaining long-term <br />requirements at least invest- <br />ment costs, <br /> <br />. To meet salt load reduction <br />objectives, it is necessary to <br />