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<br />001193 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />MaY 1. 2000 Forecast of Colorado River Flow into <br />lake Par.ell (1) (Million 1\cre,feet) <br /> <br />USER and National Weather Service <br />Aoril,July Water Year 2000 <br /> <br />Change Fran Last <br />M:nth's Forecast <br />Aoril,July Wat Yr 2000 <br /> <br />MaxillUJlll(2) <br /> <br />7.600 <br /> <br />11.552 <br /> <br />,1.500 <br /> <br />'1.348 <br /> <br />Mean <br /> <br />5.300 * <br /> <br />8.852 ** <br /> <br />'1. 000 <br /> <br />'0,948 <br /> <br />MinillUJlll(2) <br /> <br />3.100 <br /> <br />6,252 <br /> <br />'0,700 <br /> <br />'0,648 <br /> <br />* 'Ihis rronth's A'J forecast is 69% of 30,year A,J average stnm below, <br />** 'Ihis rronth's WY forecast is 76% of 30,year WY average sha./n below. <br /> <br />('"\-rnn;orisan with past re=rds <br />of Colorado River <br />inflow into lake Po.oiell <br />(at lee Feny prior to 1962) <br /> <br /> Aoril,July Flow Water Year Flow <br />Long'Tirre Average (1922,99) 8,065 11,927 <br />30'yr. Average (1961,90) 7.735 11.724 <br />10'yr, Average (1990,99) 7,321 11.238 <br />Max. of Re=rd 15.404 (1984) 21,873 (1984) <br />Min. of Record 1. 286 (1977) 3.663 (1977) <br />Last Year (1999) 7,621 12.712 <br /> <br />(1) Under conditions of no other Upper Basin reservoirs. <br /> <br />(2) USER and NWS forecasts indicate the probability of 19 chances out of <br />20 that the actual flow will not exceed the rraxillU.lIT\ value, and will not be <br />less than the minillU.lIT\ value, <br /> <br />,5- <br />