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<br />~ <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />1 <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />J <br />! <br />j <br />I <br />j <br /> <br />SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS <br /> <br />This study has been conducted on behalf of the Southwestern <br /> <br /> <br />Water Conservation District of Colorado. The purpose of this study <br /> <br /> <br />is to independently evaluate and estimate the benefits and benefit- <br /> <br /> <br />cost ratios associated with the Animas-La Plata Project. <br /> <br /> <br />Tables 1 and 2 illustrate the benefits and costs of the Animas- <br /> <br /> <br />La Plata Project using different discount rates and different <br /> <br /> <br />estimates of benefits. Table 1 shows the Bureau of Reclamation and <br /> <br /> <br />our estimates using 3.25 percent as the discount rate. As one can <br /> <br /> <br />see our benefit-cost ratios for direct and indirect benefits are <br /> <br /> <br />1.7:1 and 2.1:1 respectively while the Bureau's ratios are 1.2:1 <br /> <br /> <br />and 1.4:1. <br /> <br /> <br />The differences occur because we include a more accurate multiplie <br /> <br /> <br />(1.31) and apply it to all direct benefit categories. It seems reason- <br /> <br /> <br />able to expect any expenditures to have a multiplier impact on an area, <br /> <br /> <br />not just agricultural expenditures. Recreation and fish benefits are <br /> <br /> <br />greater due to more current estimates of use and more realistic values <br /> <br /> <br />placed on the benefits. Wildlife benefits are not included as data <br /> <br /> <br />are not available on this category at this time. Finally, we have <br /> <br /> <br />created a new category of benefit called economic development benefits. <br /> <br /> <br />We did this because it seems logical to assume that money spent on the <br /> <br /> <br />construction and operation of the project will create dollars of income <br /> <br /> <br />which will be multiplied throughout the region. <br /> <br /> <br />Teble 2 gives Bureau and our estimates based on a 6.625 percent <br /> <br /> <br />discount rate. As might be expected, the benefit-cost ratios are lower <br /> <br /> <br />but our ratios still remain at least one to one (1.0:1 and 1.3:1). <br /> <br />1 <br />