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<br />3SSS <br /> <br />RUED! DAM AND RESERVOIR, COLO. <br /> <br />37 <br /> <br />The estimated timing and rate of deYelopment of the shale in- <br />dustrv as shown in the Cameron &. Jones re-port was bused on normn.l <br />econo'mic and political conditions without the stimulation of a. na- <br />tional emergency_ Should a nationnl emergency occur, the rate. of <br />oil shale de\'elopment would undoubtedly be aeeelerated. <br />No qunntitati\"e estimates of oil shale development heyond 1975 <br />were made in the Cameron & .Jones report. The report indicated, <br />how8yer, that there will be un ever-increasing demand for oil and <br />that it. is reasonable to assume that shale oil production will con- <br />tinne to increase beyond 1l!75. It was estimated that oil shale resenes <br />nre adequate to maintnin shale oil production at a. rate of nearly 6 <br />million barrels per day for a minimum period of 40 years. <br /> <br />lValm' 'J'c'111-tremenf;: fo/' nil shrde ac-nelormwnt <br />Little water would be act-ually consumed in oil shale mllllllg and <br />retort.ing: operations but, substl1ntial amounts of water would be nec- <br />essary for refining', sE'l'yice industries, and residentinl areas. \Vater <br />requirements would be small during the initial deyelopment. period <br />but would increase rapidly with expansion of the industry and as- <br />sociated community growth. <br />In t.he Cumeron & .Jones report.. water requirements were e.sti- <br />mated for succe~si\'e [;-yenr periods be.uillning with If160 a.nd endinO' <br />in 1!)7r~. The estimates S]IOWll in the J:cpOl't :lre summarized in th~ <br />following tablllation hy t.ype of use. <br /> <br />~ <br />~ <br />I: - <br /> <br /> 19(\1)-05 10r,:;..:i'0 1!ii'1}-7S <br />Shalcotlproductiollllntl rerllll[]g: <br />Surply rrfjllircd_ ._____________ h_____. _______ _ __ .____ _. ________ gi) l2.onQ 127,000 <br />COllsumptircusc________________________________u_____. ------ "" Il,OflO 114.000 <br />Shale-n>I:ltcd IntlustO'; <br />Supply rt'Quircd_ __ ________________ h___._.__.____. _ ______. _____ " " 10,000 <br />COr\5umpLi'i'e U5~____ -.------.--------------.----.--.---------- 0 0 5,000 <br />MWlicipal (Il~W population): <br />Suppl~' fpqllired_ __ _________________. ._____~_____u_ _ ___________ 750 15.0011 ]15,000 <br />COllSnmptlrcuse_______________._______.______..______._______. 25U .5,000 40.000 <br /> -- <br />'Total mWli(:ipnlonrl intluSlrial: <br />R"omm'~;;J~:~[~~:,~~~:;;~~~,;i,ii;:::~:::::-::::::::::::::-::::1 l,31JO 2;.CllI0 2.:,2,0QI) <br />i50 }(i,O(jj1 1.'>\1.000 <br />[,,0011 4\.\,('1\)1) 2:Jt\,()l)Q <br /> <br />I \V,te, """"em,,,,, (''''-f'ot/y'",) <br /> <br />It has been conser\Tatively est.imated that ll1unicipllI' and indust.rial <br />water requirements beY0I1(1 the periods eo\'cred in the Cameron .& <br />Jones report would increase at the same rate as the nat.ional popula- <br />tion t.rend or Ifi percent pel' decade. These estimates are shown in <br />the following tabulation, <br /> <br />I." <br /> <br />SUp[lI\' rl'Qulred I Conmmp. tivu !ISO <br />([l('rr-fed{ye;n) (:\cre--replfyt.'ll.r) <br />2PO, (0) ]8.1,000 <br />~:;:l.f0ll 2lO,fj(lQ <br />3S.l.(XXJ 24~,I)On <br />4:;0,000 2il,5l1tl <br />ill,OlIO 27".000 <br /> <br />Y{'.1r <br /> <br /> <br />1985.._____________________________________.__________._________...__ <br />.l!9 .__._____.____._____._______________________"U____..__.________. <br />-::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::-::::::::t;q~~:::::::::::1 <br />