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<br />, <br /> <br />OD231S <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />CHAPTER II <br />. <br /> <br />BASES FOR ANALYSIS <br /> <br />Benefit-cost analysis <br /> <br />As a measure of the economic justification of each unit, the ratio <br />of the unit's benefits to costs vas determined. The ratio vas determined <br />by comparing both benefits and costs as average annual equivalent values <br />over a lOO-year common-time period at 2.5-percent interest compounded <br />annually. A lOO-year period vss chosen for the analyses as this period <br />is estimated as the minimum useful life for the works of each unit in <br />viev of the allo-wances made for replacements. <br /> <br />Benefi ts <br /> <br />Irrigation benefits were evaluated on the basis of a long-term pro- <br />jected price level of 215(1910-14=100). Estimates were made of direct, <br />indirect, and public benefits. Direct benefits represent the increase <br />in farm income resulting from the project in excess of farm production <br />costs end the value of alternative employment opportunities, Indirect <br />benefits include the increased profits to the nonfarm enterprises' result- <br />ing from the increased agricultural production and from increased goods <br />and services supplied for farm operation and for the farm family living. <br />Public benefits include the value of increased opportunities for estab- <br />lishment of fa~ly-sized farms. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Power and municipal water benefits from the Flattops unit were esti- <br />mated on the basis of January 1956 costs. Power benefits were estimated <br />as the cost of obtaining equivalent pover from steam-electric generating <br />plants vhich are considered the cheapest alternative source of supply. <br />Likewise nnL,icipal vater benefits were measured by the cost of obtaining <br />a comparable municipal supply from the cheapest alternative source. <br /> <br />Average Annual Equivalent Costs <br /> <br />The average El!.lI)ual equivalent costs for each unit include the net <br />capital investmentY amortized -with interest at 2.5-percent over 100 yes.rs; <br />annual operation, maintenance, and replacement costs; and each unit's <br />prorated share of the cost of regulatory facUi ties of the potential <br />Colorado River storage project. To be consistent with the procedure used <br />for previously analyzed units in the Cliffs-Divide Report, the share of <br />the cost of regulatory features was based on a rate of .$2.50 for each <br />acre-foot of depletion that a unit would cause in the flow of the Colorado <br />River at Lee Ferry. This rate, however, is considerably more than the <br />rate currently being used in analyses of ,participating projects of the <br />Colorado River Storage project authorized by the Act of April 11, 1956. <br /> <br />!/ <br />interest <br />value of <br /> <br />Net investment is considered as total construction cost <br />during construction minus the present vorth of terminal <br />the reservoir basin. <br /> <br />plus <br />salvage <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />\ <br /> <br />2l <br />