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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />range were caught that were probably hatched in the early 1990's. In addition, the new 1998 <br />population estimate (using Program CAPTURE) of the lower-reach group indicated that this part of <br />the population has remained steady at about 300 individuals (N = 328; 95% c.1. = 193-635). <br />However, in the upper reach, the catch rate was substantially higher than in 1994 when the last such <br />survey was done: in 1994 the catch rate was 0.69 fish/net; in 1998, it was 0.97 fish/net, or about a <br />40% increase (see FigA). Compared to the catch rate in 1991 (0.32fish/net), the 1998 results <br />indicate a 200% (triple) increase in densities of adults in the upper reach. The new population <br />estimate suggests that catch rates may over-estimate the increase: the 1998 upper reach point <br />estimate is 43 5 fish; thus, about a 31 % increase over the 1994 estimate (3 32fish) and a 100 % <br />increase over the 1991 estimate (205 fish). <br /> <br />However, the most interesting aspect of this year's results was the poor condition of adults. Everyone <br />handling the fish noted that they looked skinny and 'snake-like'. When we calculated relative <br />condition and partitioned results by length-class and reach it was readily apparent that fish of all <br />sizes and throughout most of the river were in poor shape. The pattern of declining condition with <br />length in the lower reach and increasing condition with length in the upper reach, as noted in the <br />earlier study, still held true. However, except for the largest and smallest fish, fish of most <br />length-classes had lost considerable weight. <br /> <br />Based on the 1998 data, a preliminary interpretation is that the carrying capacity for the occupied <br />portion of the Colorado River has been reached. Habitat capacity is defined as the level above which <br />emigration occurs (Mesick 1988; Bartholow et at. 1994). In the lower reach, this was probably <br />reached during the 1991-1994 study when fish lost condition and emigrated to the upper reach. <br />Numbers there have apparently remained stable since then despite more fish recruiting to the adult <br />population. In the upper reach, adults had evidently not exceeded their food supply by 1994. <br />However, based on body condition, by 1998 they had. <br /> <br />Other evidence along these lines is-the history of use of the Redlands fish ladder on the lower <br />Gunnison River. In its first year of operation (1996), only one squawfish used the ladder; however, in <br />1997, 18 used the ladder, and in 1998, 23 fish used the ladder. Emigrationfrom the Colorado to the <br />Gunnison river clearly picked up in 1997 and may indicate when carrying capacity in the Colorado <br />River was reached. Hopefully, additional data collection in 1999 and 2000 will shed more light on <br />this subject. " <br /> <br />Benefits of Coordinated Reservoir operations are discussed in the standardized monitoring <br />efforts. In addition, on February 13, 1999, the FWS provided a report on releases from Ruedi <br />Reservoir, which included discussion of the benefits of peak flows. This report is included in <br />Appendix B. <br /> <br />IX. Issues to Address <br /> <br />. Runoff and Flow Prediction Imorovements <br /> <br />At present there are 23 SNOTEL sites located in the Upper Colorado River Basin. The sites <br />range in elevation from 8,700 feet above MSL to 11,400 feet above MSL. These sites provide a <br />fairly good indication of what the snow pack is. However, additional information on how melting <br />ofthe snow pack translates into stream flows would be helpful. The rough rule of thumb is that <br />when the snow water equivalent at the SNOTEL sites reaches 10 inches, the peak runoff (or very <br />close to it) occurs. Refinement of this approach and better estimates ofthe melt rate would be . <br />beneficial. <br /> <br />13 <br />