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<br />M3H5 <br /> <br />3 <br /> <br />( <br /> <br />and wet the soil surface. Such stonns, however would reduce cranspira[ion and ai- <br /> <br />fect me water balance in mat manner. <br /> <br />I[ is apparent. [hen, that drought impacts based strictly on me usual precip- <br /> <br />iL1tion records have inherent shortcomings. Available soil moisrure is the ultima[e <br /> <br />measure as it integrates precipitation, evaporation and transpiration, the latter two <br /> <br />being temperarure related. <br /> <br />The amount and rate of evaporation is an important factor in determining <br /> <br />drought characteristics and it, in rum, is influenced by wind movement. For exam- cp <br />~ <br />pie, average wind movement was almost doubled when a pan evaporation station at <br /> <br />Roosevelt Dam in Arizona was moved some 900 feet. As a consequeence, evapo- <br /> <br />ration increased almost 20 percent (Green and Sellers, 1964). Altered wind move- <br /> <br />men[ and accompanying changes in evaporation were also noted when stations were <br /> <br />moved a[ Yuma. Mesa and Tucson. It seems feasible then that changes in general <br /> <br />atmospheric circulation could increase wind movement and thus haste:1 the onset of <br /> <br />drought or cause existing dry conditions to become more severe. <br /> <br />Almough droughts are related to changes in large-scale aanospheric circu- <br /> <br />lation, me exact combination of circwnslances that result in extended periods of dry <br /> <br />weather are not clearly understood. Until L'lese parameters are more clearly defined, <br /> <br /> <br />the most logical approach is [0 examine past records to see if there is any pattern in <br /> <br />the recurrence of drought. UnfortUnately the period of instrumented records is not <br />long enough to verify the cyclic aspects of drought. Proxy data sources must then <br /> <br />be employed that might reflect past climatic conditions. <br /> <br />l <br /> <br />The most commonly used sources of proxy data are stratified sediments in <br />screams, lakes and swamps; p~llen profiles; layered ice cores; and tree rings. Al- <br />though climatic reconstructions based on tree rings do not extend as far back in the <br />past as the other methods. they can be accurately dated as to the year of ring forma- <br />