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<br />TOPPING ET AL: COLORADO RfVER SEDIMENT TRANSPORT, 2 <br /> <br /> <br /> 1.5 <br /> 1.4 <br />" 1.3 <br />~ <br />2 <br />u 1.2 <br />.~ <br />;; <br />E 1.1 <br />~ <br />~ <br />I 1.0 <br />c <br />.. 0.9 <br />0 <br />.... <br />0 0.8 <br />z <br />.. <br /><II 0.7 <br />0 <br />w <br />.... 0.6 <br />en <br />:> <br />..., <br />0 0.5 <br />.. <br />w <br />> 0.4 <br />;:: <br />:s <br />:> 0.3 <br />::; <br />:> <br />0 0.2 <br /> 0.1 <br />b) <br /> <br />EARUEST <br />MASS BALANCE <br />AT GRANO CANYON <br />GAGE <br /> <br />OCTOBER <br /> <br />557 <br /> <br />DECEMBER <br /> <br />Figure 11. (continued) <br /> <br />As observed at the Grand Canyon gage, the amount of <br />0.0625- to O.I25-mm sand on the bed at the National Canyon <br />and Above Diamond Creek gages also increased from trace <br />amounts to about 5% of the line sediment on the bed during <br />the Uttle Colorado River flood. However, unlike at the Grand <br />Canyon gage, this increase in finer sand occurred without any <br />substantial decrease in the median size of the fine sediment on <br />the bed, Also, unlike at the Grand Canyon gage, following this <br />initial increase in the amount of finer sand, no measurable <br />change in the grain size of the fine sediment on the bed oc- <br />curred at these two downstream sites. <br /> <br />5.3. A Sand Budget for the 1983 Little Colorado River <br />F100d <br /> <br />To evaluate the error associated with the assumption of a <br />time-invariant grain-size distribution on the bed, a sand budget <br />(with uncertainties) was constructed using the measured sand <br />loads during and following the 1983 Uttle Colorado River <br />flood. Cumulative sand loads, computed using the data in Fig- <br />ures lOa and lOb and the predictions of Randle and Pemberton <br />(1987], for the period from the beginning of the Lillie Colo- <br />rado River flood to the ends of the sampling periods are shown <br />in Figure lla. For the reasons discussed by Topping et al. [this <br />issue], 5% uncertainties were assigned to the measured Colo- <br />rado River sand loads, and 20% uncertainties were assigned to <br />the measured Little Colorado River sand loads. As shown in <br />Figure l1a, because their sand-transport algorithm was derived <br />for a coarser bed grain-size distribution than existed at the <br />Grand Canyon gage during the Little Colorado River flood, <br />Randle and Pemberton [1987] underestimate the sand loads at <br />the Grand Canyon gage (and there.fore overestimate the up- <br />stream accumulation of sand) by about 30% (05 million t) <br />during this 3-month period. Interestingly, the magnitude of this <br /> <br />error is comparable to the predicted long-tenn accumulation <br />rate between the Uttle Colorado River and the Grand Canyon <br />gage given by U.S. Department of the Inlenor [1995]. <br />The sand budget calculated using the information in Figure <br />lla suggests that the residence time in Grand Canyon of the <br />sand supplied by the 1983 Ullle Colorado River flood was <br />quite short (Figure lib). The Colorado River downstream <br />from the Ullle Colorado River receives sand from both the <br />Little Colorado River and the Colorado River in Marble Can- <br />yon. Therefore, to oonstruct a budget for only the sand sup- <br />plied during the Little Colorado River flood, the cumulative <br />measured and predicted loads at the sites downstream from <br />the mouth of the Little Colorado River were adjusted by sub- <br />tracting the cumulative supply of sand measured passing the <br />Lower Marble Canyon gage. The uncertainties in the loads <br />were propagated through this step to result in the error enve- <br />lopes in Figure lib. In Figure lib the earliest mass balance <br />(given the uncertainties) occurs at a given site when the upper <br />bound of the error envelope intersects the lower bound of the <br />error envelope associated with the sand supplied during the <br />Little Colorado River flood (the cross-hatched region). Uke- <br />wise, the latest mass balance occurs at a given site when the <br />lower bound of the error envelope \ntersects the upper bound <br />of the error envelope associated with the sand supplied during <br />the Little Colorado River flood. Therefore the earliest an <br />amount of sand equivalent to that supplied during the little <br />Colorado River flood could have passed (1) the Grand Canyon <br />gage was on about October 10 (i.e., only to days after the flood <br />peak passed the LCR near Cameron gage), (2) the National <br />Canyon gage was on about October 30 (i.e., only 30 days after <br />the flood peak passed the LCR near Cameron gage), and, by <br />extrapolation, (3) the Above Diamond Creek gage was in <br />