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<br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />f <br />I <br />t <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />t <br />t <br />t <br />t <br />I <br />f <br />f <br />I <br />I <br />f <br /> <br />.) " S :1 <br />..u <br /> <br />IV. OPERATION PLAN FOR WATER YEAR 1991 <br /> <br />A. General <br /> <br />Three potential operations have been considered for available <br />facilities of the Fryingpan-Arkansas Project in conformity with established <br />operating criteria under assumed conditions of inflow. Two of these <br />represent operating conditions that would be experienced if runoff during <br />water year (WY) in 1991 is extremely high or low. Divertable flows during <br />W.Y. 1991 have a 1-in-l0 chance of being greater than the reasonable maximum <br />and a 1-in-l0 chance of being less than the reasonable minimum. Therefore, <br />actual operations in 1990-1991 statistically have an 8-in-l0 chance of <br />falling between the two extremes. The third potential operation represents <br />most probable diversions and operating conditions. <br /> <br />In considering potential operation plans, it was intended to provide the <br />necessary flexibil ity to change from one set of conditions to another. <br />Changing conditions will require adjustments to the proposed operation plan. <br />Forecasts of the April-July runoff will be initiated in February 1991 and <br />cont i nue during each succeeding month through May. These forecasts are <br />based upon the Soil Conservation Service's monthly snow survey, most <br />probable precipitation for the remainder of the season, and historic runoff <br />patterns. <br /> <br />The contract with Southeastern Colorado Water Conservancy District requires <br />that by May 15 notification be given of the quantity of water that will be <br />available for sale to the district. This quantity is in excess of the <br />buildup of storage necessary for minimum pools and power operation, <br />evaporation, and transportation losses. <br /> <br />8. Ruedi Reservoir <br /> <br />. <br />Ruedi Reservoir will be operated during 1990-1991 to optimize control of <br />spring runoff, recreational interests and downstream fishery requirements. <br />This is an interim plan until a long-term market is developed for that <br />water. Short term sales may be made on a year-to-year basis as need <br />develops. <br /> <br />1. Inflow <br /> <br />Under most probable conditions, the annual inflow will be 132,800 acre- <br />feet. Under maximum and minimum probable conditions annual inflow will be <br />202,200 and 85,100 acre-feet respectively. <br /> <br />2. Minimum Release <br /> <br />The fisher/. bypass requirements, as described in the Operating Principles, <br />are 39 ft Is from November through April and 110 ft3/s from May through <br />October or inflow whichever is less. <br /> <br />29 <br />