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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />As the 1974 Act allows and enV1Slons the use of the conserved water to <br />assist the Secretary by replacing the additional water released from <br />storage and does not direct the Secretary to operate the Desalting <br />Plant, it appears that the Secretary has sufficient discretion to use <br />the conserved water to continue the storage releases and allow the loss <br />of irrigation drainage in lieu of operating the Desalting Plant, as long <br />as California water requests are met. <br /> <br />uncertain Risks to States Water Supply <br /> <br />While it is clear that water belonging to the Basin States is being <br />allowed to be bypassed and lost, it is not clear that this loss will <br />cause harm, so long as the river reservoir system refills and all Basin <br />States needs are met. After the interim period ends, the primary <br />rationale for not operating the Desalting Plant relates to the Colorado <br />River reservoir system (reservoir system) storage capacity. The <br />Colorado River reservoir system has reservoir storage equal to about <br />four times the annual runoff, allowing the reservoir system to satisfy <br />water needs through extended periods of drought without imposing <br />shortages. For example, computer simulation models were used to combine <br />the recent driest 6-year sequence with the driest 12-year period of <br />record (1953 to 1964). Beginning with full Colorado River reservoirs, <br />after simulating the above IS-year sequence, lake Mead was found to have <br />over 10 million af in carryover storage. (Currently, storage in the <br />Colorado River reservoir system is at 69 percent of capacity, with over <br />18 million af of vacant storage space). <br /> <br />Based on the computer ~imulation assumptions mentioned above, operation <br />of the Desalting Plant may not significantly reduce the likelihood of <br />Colorado River system shortages. As the Upper Basin has yet to fully <br />develop, overall water supply demands continue to be less than the long- <br />term supply. With the large carryover storage of the Colorado River <br />reservoirs, the probability that shortages will occur in the foreseeable <br />future is relatively low, and there is a good probability that the <br />reservoir system will fill, and flood control releases will be required. <br />If so, water conserved by operation of the Desalting Plant and reserved <br />in storage may eventually be spilled and may in part be wasted. <br /> <br />Santa Clara Slough Preserved <br /> <br />By not operating the Desalting Plant, WMIDD drainage would continue to <br />be bypassed, and the Slough would be maintained. <br /> <br />CONS: <br /> <br />loss of Research Capability <br /> <br />By shutting down the Desalting Plant, the Test Plant would no longer be <br />operational for conducting desalting research, and desalting expertise <br />within Reclamation would be lost. The opportunity envisioned in <br />Section 203 (b) of the authorizing Act, to advance water treatment <br />technology relative to lowering treatment costs and making advance <br />treatment more practical by operating the Desalting Plant, would be <br /> <br />19 <br />