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<br />OG23;() <br /> <br />~:'";.f;;.'::';';'~:;':' ,. <br /> <br />a. <br /> <br />Population <br /> <br />~/'~--':'::.._.~.>.>7': <br /> <br />~~:~~;.E~~~~:;:t: <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />;;0--._. Y---';:;:-,_ <br />~t~~J:t~~!;:.~~~~~~~ <br />_, .-. 0, ~::.:;_:~ <br />;;'<-:;:;:X:\:-'-':"_:~ ': <br /> <br />A. <br /> <br />Addit ional East Slope Storaqe is Needed to Meet Future Demands <br /> <br />Denver Board of Water Commissioners - R.D. Wiley <br /> <br />I. <br /> <br />Population and Demand Forecasts <br /> <br />Various views are expressed today on the subject of population and demand <br />forecasts as related to a study of this nature. Within that subject is also <br />included by some,the popular question of "growth vs. no growth". That <br />question continually embodies the desire of some to cut off growth and to <br />attempt to accomplish that desire by an attack on credibility of studies of <br />this nature and thereby stop the development of additional facilities. <br /> <br />In spite of such desires, no workable method has been devised by responsible <br />people or agencies to accomplish that end result of stopping growth from <br />occurring. Until such workable method has been devised, it is only reason- <br />able to assume that growth in the United States, and more specifically in the <br />Denver Metropolitan area, will continue to occur. Planning into the future <br />for the Denver Metropolitan area is a process that must be a continual one <br />and necessarily must include as abasis, the anticipated growth in the area. <br />This planning must be done years in advance of the actual occurrence; be- <br />cause many years are required in water supply resource development be- <br />tween the time that plans are formalized and the time the facilities are com- <br />pleted and produce the needed benefits. <br /> <br />Planning for the future of the Denver Metropolitan area necessarily requires <br />estimating a future growth anticipated to occur during the planning period, <br />and the basic growth factor used in all such planning is population forecasts. <br />Forecasting population anticipated to occur in an area, such as the Denver <br />Metropolitan area, is a task which is usually subject to crit,icism; since, <br />unfortunately, no one knows what will occur in the future but can only make <br />predictions. However, predictions, forecasts, projections of population <br />growth in the Denver Metropolitan area, which have been used in this, study, <br />are those made by the people who are most qualified and knowledgeable on <br />the subject, and not relied upon forecasts by those who wish only to develop <br />projections around the occurrence or non-occurrence of a specific develop- <br />ment. <br /> <br />Even among the experts in the population forecasting field, there is not com- <br />plete agreement. As an example, Table I gives a set of population projec- <br />tions for eight various cases prepared by the Denver Regional Council of <br />Governments. This table shows that, based upon various assumptions for <br />the future, the population of the Denver Metropolitan area could ranae any- <br />where from 2. I to 4. 3 million people by the year 2000. Subsequent to the <br /> <br />-4- <br />