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WSP05059
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Last modified
7/29/2009 10:25:59 PM
Creation date
10/12/2006 12:49:37 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Water Supply Protection
File Number
8210.137
Description
Colorado River Basin-Colorado River Basin Organizations/Entities-Colorado River Forecast Committee
Date
4/1/1984
Author
USDA, USDC, NOAA,NWS
Title
Water Supply Outlook for the Western United States
Water Supply Pro - Doc Type
Report/Study
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<br />aD Hi ') ~ <br /> <br />ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF MONTANA HAS CAUSED INCRE.ASES IN TI:I.E <br />PREDICTED SPRING AND SlIHH.ER FLOWS OVER A MONTH AGO. HOWJ::;VER, WATER USERS IN <br />MONTANA, AS WELL AS CENTRAL ARIZONA, WITHOUT STORED WATER MAY EXPERIENCE WATER <br />SliOkTAGr:S. iN MUS'l' uli'itJ<. A.1tE.AS UJ- 'nil:. Wt::~l. t'KU~t't.Cl~ .t-UK :)t'Ki;,G AAU SLitlH..t:k <br />STREAMFLOWS ARE PREDICTED TO BE GOOD TO EXCELLENT. STURAGE IN HAJOk RESERVOIRS <br />THROUGHOUT THE WEST IS ABOVE NORMAL. ~OME FLOODING, ESPECIALLY ALONG UTAH'S WASATCH <br />FRONT, NEVADA'S HUHBOLT RIVER, THE UPPER COLORADO RIVER, AND THE ARKANSAS RIVEk. IS <br />ANTICIPATED THIS SPRING. <br /> <br />1984 Snowmelt Sea.on <br />ea 01 April 1 <br /> <br />General Outlook <br /> <br />water users without reservoir storage can expect <br />shortages this spring and summer. <br /> <br />Precipitation a-.ounts continue to be above normal for <br />southeastern Oregon, northe1l8tern Nevada, central Utah, <br />the Colorado Rockies. and northeastern New Mexico.. <br />Seasonal runoff 1s expected to be much above normal in <br />these areas, with some flooding anticipated this spring. <br />Much of Hontana also received above narmal precipitatian <br />far the lIIOnth of H;:>rch, which brightened the runoff <br />picture somewhat over past predictions. Continued dry <br />weather patterns over California and Arizona have caused <br />further decreases in the predicted water supplies for <br />these states. <br /> <br />Snowpack meaaurements indicate record wster content <br />values at msny snow course sites in the Humbolt River <br />Basin, Arkansas River Basin, and the Upper Colorado. River <br />Basin. Snowpack water content levels in the Columbia <br />Bssin generally range above norll181 in the south to below <br />normal in the narth. The water content of the Montana <br />snawpacks increased for the last month due to. above <br />normal rainfall, but are stl11 below to much below <br />normaL Three dry months have left most Cslifornia <br />snowpacks in the Sierras near normal, with some areas <br />much below narmaL Very dry and mild weather has lef~ <br />almost no snow at all an the Arizona watershed. Arizana <br /> <br />Above average spring and summer runaff is still <br />farecaat for tI06t cf the Colcrado. Rio Grande, Arv..ans8s. <br />Platte. and Great Basins. Columbia Basin runoff 1s <br />e:lpected to be slightly below normal overall, with belaw <br />normal runoff projected for most of the Mhsauri Basin, <br />and lDllch belaw narmal predicted flows from central <br />Arizona streams. The inflow into Lake Powell is expected <br />to. yield 154 percent of average, with the Rio Grande near <br />135 percent, the Arkansas near 162 percent of average, <br />and the North and South Platte Rivers at 109 percent and <br />120 percent, respectively. Almost all streams in the <br />Great Bssin are expected to yield above narmal runoff <br />volumes. with extremes of near 300 percent in the Humbolt <br />Bssin in Nevada and over 70U percent in parr of the <br />Sevier Basin in Utah. The Columbia River is expected to <br />yield 89 percent at The Valles, with the Snake River <br />co.ntributing 98 percent of the 196i-80 average. The <br />Missouri River is expected to yield 81 percent of average <br />at Fort Peck. A paltry 24 percent of normal flows 18 <br />expected down the Salt River into Roosevelt Lake in <br />A:rizona . <br /> <br />Reservoir storage throughout the West is excellent, <br />with all states reporting above normal levels for <br />April 1. <br /> <br />Basin by Basin Summary <br /> <br />SAN JOAQUIN, SACRAMENTO <br />AND NORTH COASTAL BASINS <br /> <br />An abnormal precipitation season is expected to <br />produce near normal spring runoff volumes. <br /> <br />The dry and mild weather pattern of January snd <br />Pebruary continued through March. 'Ihese three very dry <br />months were preceded by near record precipi tation during <br />October. November. and December. The combination of this <br />abnormal pattern is expected to produce spring runoff <br />volumes in the range of normal conditions. <br /> <br />Precipitatian for the month of March averaged 7U <br />percent of normal thraughout California. The driest <br />areas of the stste, with monthly precipitation less than <br />20 percent of normal, were the extreme southern Sierra, <br />south coast, and southwest deserts. The only area with <br />above narmal precipitation was the Klamath River drainage <br />in the northwest corner of the state. <br /> <br />Due to hesvy precipitation during the faU and early <br />winter. and the large volume of water which has alresdy <br />flowed through the main rivers of the Sierra Nevada, the <br />water yesr streamflaw volumes are expected to be above <br />normal. The exception is the Kern River drainage where <br />near normal atreamflow volumes are expected. <br /> <br />COLUMBIA BASIN <br /> <br />The wster supply outlook. for the Columbia River and <br />Pscific coastal basins csl18 far near normal runoff <br />volumes. 'The westher conditions of March resulted in a <br />slight increase in the projected volumes from last <br />month. Expected runoff from the Canadian portion remains <br />alightly below normal. Farecssts continue to indicste <br />well beloli' normal runoff volumes from the Clsrk. Fork, <br />Flathead. Pend Oreille, and Kootenay Basins. B8sins in <br />esstern . Oregon and louthcentral Idaho are forecast to <br /> <br />generate volumes significantly above normal. The Snake <br />River Basin S8 a whole is expected to yield normal <br />volumes this season. <br /> <br />Precipitation during the month of March was <br />essentially normal over the bulk of the Columbia River <br />Bssin. Areas significantly above normal included central <br />Oregon. central Idsho, western British Columbia. and <br />northeastern Washington. Areas significantly below <br />no.rmal included western Montana and the Upper Columbia <br />Basins in British Columbia. March precipitation was 89 <br />percent of average for the Columbia Basin above Grand <br />Coulee, 114 percent of average for the Snake River Basin <br />above Ice Harbor, and 113 percent of average for the <br />Columbia Bssin abave The Dalles. <br /> <br />Snowpack averages continued abave normal for the <br />southern portion of the Snske drainage and slightly below <br />normal for the remainder af the Columbia Basin. <br />Snowpacks on the Columbia River tributsry basins in <br />Canada continued to. just below normal, while the Kootenay <br />drainage snowpacks were reported at below to far below <br />normal far early April. In Montana, Inow on the Kootenay <br />Basin was less thsn 60 percent of normsl. Other basins <br />in Montana and northern Idaho reported 60 to. 80 percent <br />of their normal snowpacks. Central Oregon, Idaho. and <br />Wyoming snawpacks were about normal. Southern Idaho <br />tributaries to. the Snake River remained well above <br />normal. The Owyhee drainage snowpsck still exceeds 230 <br />percent. Little to no snowpsck was reported in the <br />Oregon and Washington Cascades at low elevations. Higher <br />elevations in the Washington Cascades reported slightly <br />below normal snow. Much below normal snowpack was <br />reported on the west slopes of the Oregon and Washington <br />Cascades. The Olympic Peninsula snd Puget Sound <br />snowpack.s remained far below normal for the early April <br />measurements. <br /> <br />The January-July fQrecast for the Columbia River at <br />The Dalles, Oregon, calls for 102 million acte-feet or 93 <br />percent of the 1961-1980 average. At Grande Caulee. <br />Washington. the January-July Calumbia River flow is <br />forecast to be 56.5 million acre-feet or 87 percent of <br />norlllBl. The total contribution from the Snake River <br />Baain. as lEasured at Lower Granite praject, is forecast <br />
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