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<br />. <br /> <br />o <br />-.J <br />w <br />o <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />The starting point for work presented in thi s study i" the Bt-;L report <br /> <br />notcd in Ref. 2, i,hich provides regional detail for the Elm\ Forecast 2 <br /> <br />energy demand and supply scenario for the year 2000, consist.ent "it.h t.he <br /> <br />level of geographic resolution contained in the FEA 1985 Reference Case. <br /> <br />Specifically, the level chosen was that of Uni ted Stat.es Census Regions. <br /> <br />In addition to the regionalization of national energ)' proj ections, <br /> <br />ORNL, using OBERS dat.a, has provided a further disaggregation of project.ed <br /> <br />energy demands to the Wat.er Resource Council subarea level. These set 5 ef <br /> <br />data, toget.her with information provided by regional utilit.y and energy <br /> <br />companies on existing facilit.ies and planned capacit.y expansion, const.i- <br /> <br />t.ut.e the bases of informat.ion from which our "ark has proceeded. <br /> <br />1 Federal Energy Administ.ration, "Nat.ional Energ)' Outlook 1'176," <br />FEA-N-75/7l3, February 1976. <br /> <br />, Due to the timing requirement.s of t.he liRe study and the L,ct t.hat. ElWA "a5 <br />still' jn the midst of its analytical and forcc<lstillg .J.cti\'itics, it \\".15 <br />neces.sary to accept. an unfinished version of LimA's Forecast. 2. It. "as <br />agree"d that t.he Oct.ol;cr 18, 1976 vers'ion of the forecast. contained a suf- <br />ficiently rich set of new and existing energy tcchnolof,jL'S 50 as to pruvjJe <br />\\'RC with an adequate basis for aSSCSSIIWllt pllrposl'~. See n. .J. l;ol'ttlc! <br />J. Bl~ainard, and I. Bh:lsin, .'A Regional Uisa~~grC'g;ltiol1 of i:(~IJ:\'S Forecast <br />2 Energy Scen;ll)o for the year 2000," report. pre'pared for the Ilat.er Resource, <br />Council by Brookhaven Nat.ional Laborat.ory (UNL 22538), March 1977. <br /> <br />*- <br /> <br />and asswnptions used (as extracted from the ro\'\~ I- draft <br /> <br />6. Constraints <br />report) are: <br /> <br />Constraints anu Assumptions <br /> <br />1\11ile the focus of t.his "ark i.s on thc lwtcr resource imp! ications of <br /> <br />. cncrgy dcvelopment, it. has becn stipulated that. "c should assume the avail- <br /> <br />-9- <br />