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<br />"'"" <br />.-1 <br />M <br />o <br /> <br />CHAPTER V <br /> <br />STAGE TWO PLAN OF DEVELOPMENT <br /> <br />services, and other public and private facilities became common in the <br /> <br />unit area and January 1983 unemployment exceeded 15 percent. <br /> <br />At present there is an excess of housing and the public facili- <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />ties planned for a larger population have excess capacity. <br /> <br />The future <br /> <br />economic situation is anticipated to lmprove, and population growth is <br /> <br />projected to average 2.4 percent as a result of continual growth in all <br /> <br />sectors of the economy toward eventual development of the area's natural <br /> <br />resources. Although the excess capacity is expected to decrease as this <br /> <br />growth occurs, Stage Two development would have little effect on most <br /> <br />social-economic factors. <br /> <br />The pertinent impact data of total employment, total lncrease in <br /> <br />personal income, and total population increase for the Stage Two plan lS <br /> <br />shown ln Table 11. These impacts were compared to data on present condi- <br /> <br />tions of facilities and services obtained through conversations with <br /> <br />knowledgeable sources and from secondary sources, such as local and State <br /> <br />government report s. <br /> <br />Population and economic projections were based on <br /> <br />data from a combination of State of Colorado and Federal documents <br /> <br />through the year 1980 and were used to develop the Bureau of Reclamation <br /> <br />Economic Assessment Model from which the estimates were taken. <br /> <br />In comparing the future without the project to the plan, effects <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />were found to be positive as the higher employment would have a posi- <br /> <br />tive effect on individuals, the coonnunity, and the area socioeconomic <br /> <br />conditions. <br /> <br />58 <br />