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<br />o <br />-..J <br />o <br />1-" <br /> <br />For the purposes of this assessment, an "accelerated synfuels case" <br />EET projection postulated a synfuels industry with an output of about <br />3 million barrels of oil (equivalents) per day. In particular, this " <br />projection assumes an oil shale industry of 2.45 million barrels per day <br />(i.e., 49 unit-sized plants), 1.8 million of which was sited by assumption <br />on the White River (Colorado and Utah) and .5 million on the Colorado Main <br />Stem River (within Colorado). Coal gasification was assumed to produce an <br />output of 2,750 million standard cubic feet per day (i.e., 11 unit-sized <br />plants), 1.400 million of which was sited by assumption on the San Juan <br />River in New Mexico. Total Btu output of this postulated level of develop- <br />ment would be about 17 trillion Btu per day. Net water consumption, <br />including that for the associated growth, was projected to be about 440,000 <br />acre-feet per year. <br /> <br />Given the above specified siting assumptions, this assessment has determined <br />that the water demands of a 3'mi11ion barrel per day synfuels industry as J <br />well as the water demands of the associated growth, could be satisfied <br />from surface supplies without having to significantly, if at all, reduce <br />other projected consumptive water uses in the Upper Basis if the Upper Division <br />States incurred no obligation to satisfy any portion of the deliveries due <br />Mexico. Again, however, this conclusion is subject to the qualifiers and <br />assumptions stated in the text. In particular, it is evident that the assumed <br />concentration of oil shale" development on the White River would require <br />considerable reservoir capacity, would lead to a highly regulated flow <br />regime, and would have significant adverse effects on instream uses and <br />values. <br /> <br />While it has been determined that the water demands of a 3 million barrel <br />per day synfuels industry could be satisfied, subject to the stated qualifications <br />and assumptions, it is to be emphasized that no conclusions or findings have <br />been reached with regard to the "ultimate" lebel of EET development which <br />could be supplied from surface water sources. <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />cvi <br />