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<br />I-" <br />W <br />,.':::.. <br />0) <br /> <br />Program Evaluation <br /> <br />Background and Assumptions <br /> <br />Salinity concentrations of the river have <br />fluctuated widely over the period 1941-1989. <br />Salinity concentrations generally decrease in <br />periods of high flows and increase in periods of <br />low flows. Figure 2 shows the annual flow of the <br />Colorado River at Imperial Dam and the <br />corresponding annual salinity concentrations. <br /> <br />Figure 3 provides a historical perspective, <br />numeric criterion, and the projections at <br />Imperial Dam without further salinity control <br />actions, Without the recommended controls, the <br />salinity at Imperial Dam is expected to increase <br />significantly over the next 20 years. Current <br />salinity projections show that an additional salt <br />load reduction of about 1.280 million tons per <br />year is needed to maintain total dissolved solids <br />(TDS) levels at the numeric criterion of 879 <br />mgIL at Imperial Dam. A total salt removal of <br />1.464 million tons per year is needed by the year <br />2010. <br /> <br />The 1990 evaluation was completed using <br />modeling results from the Colorado River <br />Simulation System (CRSS). The base condition <br />on which the computer simulations were made <br />include the following salinity control projects: <br />Grand Valley, Meeker Dome, Uinta Basin, <br />Las Vegas Wash, Lower Gunnison I, Big Sandy <br />River, and BLM well plugging. These projects, <br />or portions thereof, are removing approximately <br />183,500 (Jan. 1990) tons of sa It annually from <br />the river system, as shown in table 1. <br /> <br />The 1990 base condition was modeled using the <br />January I, 1990, reservoir starting conditions. <br />Projections of future salinity conditions on the <br />Colorado River are derived from 15 sequences of <br />historically based hydrology. Depletion <br />projections as of January 1990 were developed <br />jointly by Reclamation and the Forum. <br /> <br />Moderate variations in the salinity levels in <br />impoundments like Lake Powell and Lake Mead <br />and at Imperial Dam can be ascribed to several <br /> <br /> 900 20 <br /> Salinity :\ r, r, <br /> " I \ <br />~ 850 I \ 1 \, <br /> : \ I \J 18 'C' <br />'" I I I " .. <br />.E. CD <br /> I I ....., I' ... <br /> , I /\' <br />c: 800 I I '" " 16 ~ <br />0 I I \ I I 8- <br />.~ ' I I I a; <br /> , I " <br /> , I I I <br />c 750 : l l V I 14 .!, <br />l'! ' " I CD <br />c: : L.I . l; <br />8 I 12 ~ <br />.~ 700 , ;!! <br /> , <br />.5 , \ 10 I <br />m , I , 1 <br />0; 650 I, \ , . <br />y 8.8 <br />::l \ <br />c: , <br />~ I 0; <br />600 I , ::l <br /> \ I c: <br /> V 60lf <br /> 550 4 <br /> 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 <br /> Years <br /> <br /> <br />Figure 2.-Historical flows and salinity concentration at Imperial Dam. <br /> <br />5 <br />