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<br />CHAPTER II <br /> <br />NEEDS AND RESOURCES <br /> <br />Projected Power Needs <br /> <br />Demands for additional peaking power, together with the rising cost <br />and dwindling supplies of fossil fuels, have made it necessary to further <br />develop efficient, renewable peaking power resources such as hydro- <br />electric power facilities. Throughout the Colorado River Storage Project <br />service area,"};..! additional generating capacity will be needed to help <br />meet future requirements for power at peak demand periods even with <br />conservation measures and such nonstructura1 management measures as a <br />redistribution of existing demand patterns and a time-of-day pricing <br />structure. <br /> <br />A Reclamation survey of power needs in the Colorado River Storage <br />Project service area identified the need for increased peaking power <br />capacity. The survey was conducted as part of the 1975 power peaking <br />reconnaissance study by a power resources and needs subteam, a component <br />of the planning team organized to aid in the study .process. The survey <br />and other analyses developed by the subteam are documented in detail in <br />the 1978 Peaking Power Status Report, Appendix, Volume 2 of 2. Load and <br />energy projections derived from the report are presented in the table <br />below and reflect the effects of conservation measures, interregional <br />interties, and changes in rate schedules. <br /> <br />Colorado River Storage Project marketing area load and energy <br />projections cumulative totals from all load centers!1 <br />Power projections <br />1990 <br />33,131 <br />170.3 <br />8.0 <br />2.2 <br />10,834 <br />6,759 <br />2,300 <br />810 <br />5.1 <br />3.0 <br />9,293 <br />28 <br />1,570 <br />0.59 <br /> <br />1975 <br />12,680 <br />63.3 <br />2.8 <br />.8 <br />4,071 <br />2,562 <br />2,200 <br />800 <br />1.8 <br />2.8 <br />3,493 <br />27 <br />1,500 <br />0.57 <br /> <br />1985 <br />25,309 <br />129.5 <br />6.1 <br />1.7 <br />8,276 <br />5,188 <br />2,320 <br />830 <br />3.9 <br />3.0 <br />7,099 <br />28 <br />1,570 <br />0.58 <br /> <br />1995 <br />42,409 <br />218.9 <br />10.2 <br />3.1 <br />13,825 <br />8.948 <br />2.300 <br />880 <br />6.6 <br />3.0 <br />11,969 <br />28 <br />1,580 <br />0.59 <br /> <br />2000 <br />54,117 <br />2M.4 <br />13.3 <br />3.9 <br />17.740 <br />11,365 <br />2,340 <br />880 <br />8.6 <br />3.1 <br />15.261 <br />28 <br />1,580 <br />0.59 <br /> <br />Total capacity requirements (MW)~I <br />Annual energy (KWh x 106) <br />Maximum peaking energy (KWh x 106) <br />Hinimum peaking energy (KWh x 106) <br />MaxiMUm peaking load (MW) <br />Minimum peaking load (MW) <br />Maximum peaking hours <br />Minimum peaking hours <br />Estimated peakins energy (KWh x 106)11 <br />Estimated percent of annual energy <br />Estimated peaking load (HW) <br />Estimated petcent of annual peak demand <br />Eatimated peaking hout~1 <br />Annual load factor1! <br />Explanation: HW - megawatt, h - hout. <br />Soutce: U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Peaking Power Status Report Appendix, Volume 2 of 2, 1978. <br />1/ Time of occurrence for peak loads varied slightly among load centers; however, it was assumed that <br />the variation in individual hours reported would not affect the totals estimated for annual peak demand and <br />annual schedule. <br />21 Totsl demand including base 8S well as peak. <br />31 Average of maximum and minimum range of peaking energy. <br />4/ EstiMated number of hours per year that peaking occ~rs. <br />1/ Ratio of average load to peak load. <br /> <br />1/ The Colorado River Storage Project service area for planning <br />purposes includes the States of Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, Utah, and <br />Wyoming in their entirety; all or portions of six counties in Nevada; <br />and the State of California east of long. 1150. <br /> <br />4 <br />