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<br />~ <br />o <br />0; <br />o <br /> <br />(Figure 4) were not related to changes in river discharges <br />or reservoir volumes (Figure 5). Rather, it appears these <br />variations were caused by changes in methods of estimating <br />evaporation. <br /> <br /> 28 <br /><Do 24 <br />x 20 <br />- , <br />.. 16 I' , <br />.. I \ <br />'lL I <br /> 1 \ <br /> 12 I \ <br />.. I \ <br />~ ) \ /" <br />" 8 \ , <br /><( \ --,' It <br /> 'V <br /> 4 <br /> <br /> <br />30 <br /> <br />25 <br /> <br />0>0 <br />20 - <br />x <br />15", <br />::;; <br /> <br />ft <br />" <br />II <br />I I Colorado River <br />I \ f', Inflow __.....&- <br />I I I '1.-......... .....-................... .....-.........._ <br />.J I I <br />I I <br />\ I <br />\ I <br />~-' <br /> <br />10 <br /> <br />5 <br /> <br />54 56' 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 <br />Waler Vear <br /> <br />Figure 5. <br /> <br />Average Annual Volumes for Lake Mead and <br />Inflows from Grand Canyon [USGS Data]. <br /> <br />Evaporation rates in Lake Mead have historically been <br />estimated with the mass transfer method using equations <br />developed by Harbeck et al. [4]. Evaporation rates were <br />routinely adjusted for changes in energy advection and stor- <br />age. This was discontinued in October, 1974, and evaporation. <br />rates rose sharply in 1975 and 1976. The mass transfer meth- <br />od "JaS still used to estimate evaporation, but, in February <br />of 1976, the coefficient in the equation was changed, and <br />evaporation rates immediately decreased. This indicates that <br />the abnormally high evaporation rates for 1975 and 1976 .,ere <br />caused by failures to adequately compensate for advection. <br />Although evaporation rates for 1977 and 1978 appear reason- <br />able in comparison to other post-Lake Powell years, recent <br />data collected in limnological studies of I,ake !>lead [5] <br />indicate that evaporation rates are still being overesti- <br />mated. <br />Temperatures in the Upper Basin of Lake Mead are gener- <br />ally colder than in the Lower Basin [5]. In 1980, surface <br />temperatures in Virgin Basin were often 1-20C colder than in <br /> <br />9 <br />